LUBBOCK, Texas (RFD NEWS) — Grain movement remains active across export channels, but uneven demand and rising fuel costs are shaping marketing opportunities heading toward spring delivery windows.
Railroads originated 27,733 grain carloads for the week ending January 31 — 9 percent above last year and 6 percent above the three-year average. Secondary shuttle bids dropped sharply week to week, signaling adequate railcar supply.
River traffic improved but remained historically weak. Barged grain totaled 265,900 tons, up 40 percent from the prior week but still 57 percent below a year ago. Gulf unloads fell 13 percent, pointing to a slower export pull-through.
Ocean demand strengthened as 39 vessels loaded at the Gulf, 18 percent above last year. Freight to Japan increased to $53.75 per metric ton from the Gulf and $30 from the Pacific Northwest.
Diesel averaged $3.688 per gallon, slightly above last year, keeping shipping costs elevated into planting season.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Adequate transportation capacity exists, but fuel costs and soft river demand could widen basis risk.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Chris Bliley with Growth Energy discusses ongoing concerns about U.S. ethanol exports and the expansion of market access promised under the Phase One deal between the U.S. and China.
October 30, 2025 02:30 PM
·
“It does not extinguish right away here — in any sort of sense — the real profitability concerns and people’s ability to pay bills and get to the other side of this in the very short term. This is where the skepticism builds.”
October 30, 2025 02:20 PM
·
U.S. Senator Roger Marshall (R-KS) shares his perspective on the U.S.-China trade developments and their potential impact on American producers, farmers, and ranchers.
October 30, 2025 12:56 PM
·
Rich Nelson, a commodity broker for Allendale Inc., joins us to break down what the U.S.-China trade agreement means for the ag economy.
October 30, 2025 12:04 PM
·
The U.S.-China summit raises hopes for stronger exports and reduced barriers, but U.S. ag players should remain strategically cautious until concrete volumes and certifications materialize.
October 30, 2025 10:37 AM
·
Global agriculture is stabilizing after years of price swings, with flat to modestly rising returns expected as productivity offsets slower demand growth.
October 29, 2025 03:35 PM
·
Expect incremental near-term lift for feed grains, proteins, and ethanol as tariff cuts and smoother approvals translate into real orders.
October 29, 2025 03:04 PM
·
If confirmed, early Chinese buys tighten nearby Gulf/PNW capacity and could bump basis in export-oriented regions.
October 29, 2025 10:15 AM
·
Trade pacts with Malaysia and Cambodia unlock tariff-free and preferential lanes for key U.S. farm goods, expanding long-term demand in Southeast Asia.
October 28, 2025 02:08 PM
·