NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — Grain transportation activity delivered mixed signals late in January, with rail demand remaining historically strong, barge movements rebounding week to week, and ocean freight rates continuing to firm. The combination points to steady export demand but rising logistical and cost pressures for shippers.
U.S. Class I railroads originated 31,877 grain carloads during the week ending January 17, down 1 percent from the prior week but still 31 percent higher than a year ago and 26 percent above the three-year average. Railcar availability tightened sharply, with February shuttle secondary bids averaging $750 per car above tariff — $200 higher than the previous week and nearly $600 above last year. Non-shuttle bids remained near tariff, underscoring stronger demand for guaranteed shuttle service.
Barge traffic improved as weather disruptions eased. Grain movements totaled 567,800 tons for the week ending January 24, up 27 percent from the previous week, though still 13 percent below last year. Downbound traffic increased, but unloads at the Gulf declined.
Ocean activity stayed firm, while diesel prices climbed to $3.624 per gallon, adding cost pressure.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong rail demand and higher fuel costs raise transportation risk even as barge and export flows stabilize.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Traders say that shift could eventually prompt the USDA to scale back soybean export projections, noting the outlook differs greatly for other grain commodities.
January 30, 2026 01:13 PM
·
The federal government’s status is far from the only factor moving the markets on Friday. Two critical reports released today on producer inflation and the status of the U.S. cattle herd are also top of mind.
January 30, 2026 12:51 PM
·
Record milk output looks strong today, but shrinking replacement numbers mean future supply adjustments could be faster and more volatile.
January 30, 2026 11:44 AM
·
Often overlooked, cotton wholesalers act as stabilizers during market stress, translating fragmented retail demand into workable production programs for mills and manufacturers.
January 30, 2026 08:00 AM
·
Beef x Dairy cattle with strong genetics and documentation are earning prices comparable to native feeders.
January 29, 2026 08:00 AM
·
Reliable waterways lower costs, protect export demand, and support long-term farm profitability.
January 29, 2026 06:00 AM
·
USDA Undersecretary for Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs Luke Lindberg joined us with a recap of the Malaysia trade mission and a look at USDA’s broader trade strategy moving forward.
January 28, 2026 01:49 PM
·
Mike Steenhoek of the Soy Transportation Coalition shares how extreme winter weather is affecting the ag transportation network and what producers should keep in mind as conditions slowly improve.
January 28, 2026 01:36 PM
·
Strong White House backing supports ethanol demand, but timing now hinges on Congress resolving procedural — at the same time as they push toward a spending bill to avert another federal government shutdown.
January 28, 2026 11:35 AM
·