Halloween Holiday Costs Outpace Core Inflation for Americans

With core input inflation still hovering high, growers and retailers should plan pricing and promotions with tighter margins in mind — target early sales, leverage bundle deals, and secure logistics ahead of peak Halloween demand.

halloween candy 1280x720.jpg

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Pumpkins, candy, and Halloween décor are climbing in cost this October — and despite income gains, purchasing power remains flat for many.

According to an InvestorsObserver report analyzing 2000–2025 data, wholesale pumpkin prices increased by 67 percent since 2015, the candy and chewing gum CPI rose by 45 percent, and the overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed by 36 percent, while U.S. per-capita income grew by 56 percent over the decade.

Retail forecasts show Halloween spending near record levels — around $13.1 billion for 2025 — pointing to resilient demand amid cost pressures. Supply-chain pressures, including higher freight rates, labor shortages, and packaging costs, have driven price gains.

Data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) reinforce volatility in pumpkin prices linked to weather and acreage trends, and the BLS candy index remains elevated compared to pre-pandemic levels.

Consumer sentiment surveys suggest many households are shifting toward value-oriented purchases, opting for store brands, smaller pack sizes, or pre-season deals to stretch budgets.

Farm-Level Takeaway: With core input inflation still hovering high, growers and retailers should plan pricing and promotions with tighter margins in mind — target early sales, leverage bundle deals, and secure logistics ahead of peak Halloween demand.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Expert

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Cuba remains a small but dependable, cash-only outlet for U.S. grain and food products.
Expanding cheese exports are strengthening U.S. milk demand and reinforcing global competitiveness.
Strong global demand and falling stocks suggest continued price volatility for U.S. coffee buyers despite record world production.
U.S. dairy producers remain the primary growth engine globally, while tightening supplies in Europe and New Zealand could support export demand for American dairy products.
Fewer acres and stronger prices suggest disciplined hop production is supporting market balance despite lower output.
Benchmark machinery costs against those of similar-sized, high-performing operations to inform equipment and investment decisions.
Rural Lifestyle & Entertainment Shows
Enjoy traditional country music from modern-day troubadours The Malpass Brothers. Each episode stars the brother duo of Chris & Taylor Malpass along with a featured celebrity guest– and loads of clever humor.
Brought to you by Gus Arrendale & Springer Mountain Farms, join dynamic bluegrass duo Dailey & Vincent as they welcome scores of fabulous bluegrass, country, and gospel music acts as special guests. Loads of laughs, your favorite guests galore, and lots of good times are guaranteed. Don’t miss all the fun!
This hour-long show explores the trains and locomotives that aided the growth of travel, further settlement, and the development of a variety of American industries and agricultural ventures.
FarmHER + RanchHER on RFD-TV is working to change how people perceive a farmer by sharing the stories of the women who live and lead in agriculture.
Join popular polka performer Mollie Busta as she hosts the weekly “Mollie B Polka Party” on RFD-TV! The one-hour program features the nation’s top polka bands and a wide variety of ethnic styles produced on location at music festivals from around the country.