Higher Input Costs Deepen Northern Farm Credit Pressure

A new survey of agricultural lenders points to increasing financial stress across the Ninth District.

farming taxes accounting money_adobe stock.png

Adobe Stock

MINNEAPOLIS, MN (RFD-TV) — Higher input costs and weak crop prices are pushing Northern farm borrowers toward credit as the growing season begins. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis economist Joe Mahon reports farm income, capital spending, and repayment rates declined across the Ninth District during the first quarter.

More than 75 percent of agricultural lenders reported lower farm income than the previous year. Capital spending fell, according to 65 percent of respondents, as grain operations faced pressure from fertilizer and fuel costs despite strong 2025 yields.

Credit needs are rising. Forty-six percent of lenders reported increased loan demand, nearly half reported more renewals or extensions, and 48 percent reported lower repayment rates. Twenty-four percent increased collateral requirements.

Land values continue masking some stress. Nonirrigated cropland values fell less than 1 percent, while irrigated cropland rose 1.4 percent and ranchland increased more than 3 percent, supported by cattle profitability. Cash rents declined across all land types.

Bankers remain cautious. About half expect farm income to decline further, while more than half expect loan demand to rise and repayment rates to weaken.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Crop producers face mounting credit pressure as high input costs and low prices weaken cash flow despite stable land equity.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The planned facility is expected to process roughly 400 cattle daily and bring new jobs to the region.
Rising milk production and lower prices are putting additional financial pressure on dairy farmers.
North American lumber prices fell 7% entering November as housing activity and seasonal demand weighed on the market. Timber values remain highly regional, with Southern pulpwood especially weak.
Producers could see additional disaster assistance considered before year-end, but the final amount and legislative path remain unsettled.
CoBank Lead Grains and Oilseeds Economist Tanner Ehmke says domestic demand for corn and soybeans remains encouraging, while wheat export demand bears watching.
Growing Mexican interest in U.S. genetics and feed technology could support additional agricultural export opportunities.
Falling farm commodity prices do not guarantee lower grocery bills when processing, labor, transportation, and retail costs remain high.
USDA confirmed its Export Sales database shows no 2025/26 or 2026/27 corn originally reported to unknown destinations that was later switched to China, eliminating one possible explanation for the discrepancy.
Hog producers face a demand-driven market where improving consumption may matter more than reducing current pork supplies.
Passing the Farm Bill this year could give producers and rural businesses more certainty across programs still under temporary extensions.
Drought Shifts Across Regions As Fall Fieldwork Continues
The unanimous verdict marks a legal victory for Bayer as thousands of Roundup lawsuits remain unresolved.