NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — U.S. food manufacturers will rely heavily on Canadian oats again this year. Still, rising rail tariffs and tighter supplies are reshaping how those oats move into key milling regions. Since domestic output cannot meet demand for cereals, oatmeal, and granola, buyers remain dependent on consistent cross-border shipments — and transportation costs are increasingly driving the equation.
The United States imports nearly all its oats from Canada, with most shipped by rail to Duluth, Chicago, and major Midwest mills. A 2023 drought cut Canadian production, reducing rail volumes 26 percent and increasing reliance on truck and Great Lakes vessel shipments. For 2025/26, all major railroads raised oat tariff rates: BNSF by $100 per car and Canadian carriers by $175–$260 per car, depending on lane and volume.
Processors in Minneapolis, Cedar Rapids, and St. Ansgar now face higher freight costs, which are tightening margins and may influence sourcing decisions. Truck shipments remain steady but cannot replace rail capacity. Meanwhile, competition between rail carriers — especially over access to Cedar Rapids — has widened rate spreads.
Looking ahead, oat shipments will peak after harvest, but elevated freight rates and tighter supplies may suppress volumes into early 2026.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Higher rail tariffs and tighter Canadian supplies will keep oat transportation costs firm into 2026.
Tony Saint James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Freight volatility increasingly determines export margins, making logistics costs as important as price in marketing decisions.
January 14, 2026 06:00 AM
·
China’s beef policy risk stems from domestic volatility, making export demand inherently unstable. Jake Charleston with Specialty Risk Insurance offers his perspective on cattle markets, risk management, and producer sentiment.
January 13, 2026 02:13 PM
·
Larger grain stocks increase supply pressure, but strong fall disappearance — especially for corn and sorghum — suggests demand remains an important offset.
January 13, 2026 01:02 PM
·
Structural efficiency supports cattle prices and resilience — breaking it risks higher costs and greater volatility.
January 13, 2026 08:00 AM
·
Strong pork demand and improving beef exports outside China support protein markets despite ongoing trade barriers.
January 13, 2026 06:00 AM
·
Market reaction was bearish for corn and soybeans, with analysts noting that abundant supplies amid tepid demand could keep price pressure on agricultural commodities.
January 12, 2026 03:51 PM
·
Logistics capacity remains available, but winter volatility favors flexible delivery and marketing plans. NGFA President Mike Seyfert provides insight into grain transportation trends, trade policy, and priorities for the year ahead.
January 12, 2026 02:52 PM
·
Protein markets are fragmenting. Beef is supply-driven and more structurally expensive, whereas pork and poultry remain price-competitive.
January 10, 2026 07:00 AM
·
Tight fed supplies shift margin risk to packers, strengthening cattle price leverage but increasing volatility.
January 09, 2026 03:36 PM
·
