Lower Transport Costs Support Corn; Soybean Pressure Builds

Lower shipping costs favor corn, while soybeans face pressure.

trade_adobe stock.png

Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — Lower transportation costs are helping U.S. corn remain competitive in export markets, while soybean demand continues to face pressure from global competition. USDA data shows fourth-quarter shipping costs declined, supporting corn movement even as soybean exports weakened.

Transportation costs from the Midwest to Japan fell both quarter-to-quarter and year-over-year. Lower barge and truck rates drove much of the decline, offsetting slightly higher ocean freight costs. That helped reduce total landed costs for corn through both Gulf and Pacific Northwest routes.

Soybean costs moved in the opposite direction. Higher farm values pushed total landed costs slightly higher, despite similar transportation savings. That reduced competitiveness in global markets.

Export trends reflect the shift. Fourth-quarter corn exports rose sharply, supported by demand from Asia and Latin America. Soybean exports dropped significantly, driven by weaker demand from China and stronger competition from Brazil.

Looking ahead, USDA projects corn exports to rise this marketing year, while soybean exports are expected to decline.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Lower shipping costs favor corn, while soybeans face pressure.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
China continues to buy U.S. soybeans toward its 12 MMT commitment, as analysts cite data gaps, delivery timing questions, and muted market reaction.
Higher ethanol blend rates translate directly into stronger, more durable corn demand if regulatory momentum holds.
Seasonal boxed beef softness does not change the tight-supply outlook — leverage remains closer to the farm gate heading into 2026.
As the new year begins, both farmers and rural families are taking stock of their finances and planning ahead for 2026.
Trade uncertainty—especially regarding soybeans—continues to weigh on future outlooks, even as farm finances and land values remain resilient.
Strong export demand supports feed grain prices, but drought risk and seasonal patterns favor disciplined early-year marketing.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Strong ethanol production and export trends continue to support corn demand despite seasonal fuel consumption softness.
Cotton demand depends on demonstrating performance and reliability buyers can rely on, not messaging alone.
Shaun Haney, Host of RealAg Radio on Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147, joined us with his 2026 cattle market outlook and insights on beef prices.
Farmer Bridge Assistance payments provide immediate balance-sheet support heading into 2026, but remain a short-term bridge rather than a substitute for long-term market recovery.
High ownership does not always translate into high output, underscoring the importance of structural differences in understanding state-level farm performance.
Record yields are cushioning production declines, but softer prices underscore the importance of cost control and market timing for vegetable growers.