Machinery Investment Trends Collide with Slowing Equipment Sales

Larger operations maintain cost advantages, while softer equipment sales suggest producers are pacing machinery upgrades amid tighter margins.

two little kids in the cab of a john deere tractor_Cristen Clark_FarmHER S1_Ep 11

FarmHER Cristen Clark (Season 1, Episode 11)

FarmHER, Inc.

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD-TV) — Crop machinery investment patterns show strong economies of scale even as new equipment sales slow sharply across North America, signaling a cautious reset in farm capital spending.

Analysis from the Center for Commercial Agriculture at Purdue University shows that larger crop farms continue to invest less per acre in machinery than smaller operations, while recent data from the Association of Equipment Manufacturers indicate weakening near-term demand for tractors and combines.

Purdue research tracking 2007 through 2024 shows that farms exceeding 2,000 acres averaged about $668 per acre in machinery investment in 2024, compared with more than $800 per acre for smaller farms. Net annual machinery investment also declines with size, reflecting scale advantages that lower depreciation, interest, and machinery costs per acre over time.

At the same time, AEM reports U.S. tractor sales fell nearly 20 percent in November, while combine sales dropped more than 35 percent from a year earlier. The slowdown suggests producers are delaying major purchases as margins tighten, despite longer-term needs for efficiency and replacement.

Together, the data point to disciplined spending rather than a collapse in investment.

Related Stories
Policies aimed at ground beef prices may primarily reshape dairy incentives rather than deliver lasting consumer savings.
More flexible export financing could strengthen demand in emerging markets and support higher U.S. agricultural exports.
Ranchbot Monitoring Solutions provides remote water-monitoring technology to help ranchers manage livestock water more efficiently.
Jones Hamilton Company shares insights on herd health, efficiency, and innovation for cattle producers this year at NCBA CattleCon in Nashville.
Jeramy Stephens of National Land Realty breaks down current trends in the farmland real estate market and how landowners should consider water availability and its impact on land values as they plan for the year ahead.
As cattle markets show renewed strength, producers gathering at CattleCon are focused on protecting operations, managing risk, and positioning for opportunity in the year ahead.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Early indications suggest the U.S. cattle industry may be nearing the end of its liquidation phase. Oklahoma State University livestock economist Dr. Derrell Peel says the industry could be at or near the cyclical low.
Beef x Dairy cattle with strong genetics and documentation are earning prices comparable to native feeders.
Reliable waterways lower costs, protect export demand, and support long-term farm profitability.
Strong White House backing supports ethanol demand, but timing now hinges on Congress resolving procedural — at the same time as they push toward a spending bill to avert another federal government shutdown.
Greater transparency into USDA-backed lending can help rural lenders and producers better assess credit availability and investment trends.
Mixed product pricing and rising milk supplies suggest margin management will remain critical as 2026 unfolds.
Agriculture Shows
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.