Midwest Farm Credit Weakens as Loan Demand Rises

Chicago Fed lenders report producers are carrying more operating debt as repayment rates continue weakening across the Midwest.

business corporate transparency act boi reporting generic_Photo by Mariakray via AdobeStock_322909427.png

Photo by Mariakray via Adobe Stock

Adobe Stock

CHICAGO, IL (RFD NEWS) — Midwest farm credit conditions weakened in the first quarter as producers carried more operating debt and lenders reported slower repayment rates.

The Chicago Federal Reserve says non-real-estate farm loan demand rose for the tenth consecutive quarter across the Seventh District.

The loan demand index reached 141, with half of responding lenders reporting higher demand than a year earlier. At the same time, repayment rates remained weak, with 38 percent of lenders reporting lower repayment rates and only 1 percent reporting improvement.

Loan renewals and extensions also increased. The index reached 136, its highest level since the second quarter of 2020, and lenders reported an average of 17 percent of farm borrowers carried more debt into 2026.

Farmland values were still 3 percent higher than a year earlier, but dipped 1 percent from the previous quarter. Cash rents fell 3 percent for 2026, their second straight annual decline.

The outlook points to increased demand for operating, feeder cattle, and FSA-guaranteed loans this spring.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Higher loan demand, weaker repayment rates, and more carryover debt show working capital remains under pressure.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Jake Charleston with Specialty Risk Insurance says recent futures market moves are leaving cattle producers unsure about price trends.
Brooks York with AgriSompo joined us to break down livestock protection coverage, market timing, and how producers can access risk management tools.
The coalition says the program was designed to make cover crop enrollment faster and easier for producers.
Jeramy Stephens with National Land Realty joined us to share guidance on preventing land fraud, identifying scams, and protecting farm and rural property owners.
China remains critical to U.S. farm exports, but Brazil’s growing market share keeps pressure on U.S. soybean demand.
Higher input costs and tighter cash flow are keeping pressure on farm income, credit needs, and capital spending.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Expect business-as-usual for most container exports.
Searches for “struggle meal” hit a record high in September, and #strugglemeals posts are climbing on Instagram and TikTok, reflecting a wave of budget-cooking content.
Considering raising your own replacements instead of buying bred heifers? Three key factors to consider before investing capital.
Reliable, clearly graded middle meats still anchor demand; programs that deliver consistent eating quality and simple, confidence-building menus capture more repeat visits—and more value—back through the beef chain.
Prepare for tighter cash flow, delayed capital buys, and policy-driven risk management this fall.
Plan for a cooler global trade market in 2026 with tighter margins on exports, potential rate shifts, and premiums for reliable deliveries into Asian and African growth markets.