Milk Output Grows While Protein Demand Supports Prices

Butter has softened as milkfat supplies remain ample.

LUBBOCK, TEXAS (RFD NEWS) — Milk production is still growing, but the pace is slowing as dairy markets split between ample milkfat supplies and strong protein demand. March milk production increased 2.3 percent on a liquid basis, marking the fourth straight month of year-over-year growth.

Butter has softened as milkfat supplies remain ample. CME butter prices eased over the past month, even as overall milk production gains decelerated.

Skim solids are telling a different story. Nonfat dry milk prices set records through April and into May as new cheese capacity and strong demand for high-protein dairy products competed with dryers for milk. Use of yogurt, cottage cheese, and whey protein concentrate also continued to grow.

Consumer pressure remains a risk. Inflation accelerated in April, sentiment weakened, and softer foodservice volumes weighed on domestic cheese and butter use.

The Class IV rally helped lift the March Dairy Margin Coverage margin to $9.57 per hundredweight.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong protein demand is supporting milk prices, but consumer pressure and regional margin differences remain important for dairy producers.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
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Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

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