National Cotton Council Forecasts Acreage Downshift into 2026

Cotton acres slipping as competing crops gain ground.

cotton bud with the sunset_Photo by Kelli via AdobeStock_386673555.jpg

A cotton bud framed by a sunset.

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. cotton growers plan to reduce spring plantings as competing crop prices and regional economics reshape acreage decisions.

The National Cotton Council’s annual survey shows producers intend to plant 9.0 million acres in 2026, down 3.2 percent from last year. Upland cotton accounts for 8.8 million acres, while extra-long staple cotton rises 14 percent to 161,000 acres. Based on normal abandonment and yields, the crop is projected at approximately 12.7 million bales.

Economists with the National Cotton Council say relative crop prices drove the shift. Cotton prices were roughly unchanged from last year’s survey period, but soybeans strengthened slightly while corn softened, encouraging rotations away from cotton in several regions.

Southeast growers expect cotton acreage to fall 4.9 percent, while Mid-South plantings are projected at 1.2 million acres — down 20.6 percent from last year. In contrast, Southwest acreage is expected to rise 1.6 percent, led by a 0.4 percent increase in Texas. Western upland cotton acreage is projected to decline 7.2 percent.

ELS cotton acreage, however, is forecast to increase with Arizona up 3.2 percent, California up 8.0 percent, and Texas expanding ELS plantings by 69.8 percent.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Cotton acres slipping as competing crops gain ground.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Western Caucus member Rep. Bruce Westerman (R-AR) details the SPEED Act on Champions of Rural America. The legislation aims to reform NEPA, streamline permitting, and expand domestic energy development.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer outlines the key difference between previous ECAP payments and the Farm Bridge Assistance Program.
Record corn and sorghum crops boost feed grain supplies, while reduced soybean and cotton production tighten outlooks for oilseeds and fiber markets.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The ACRE Act modestly reduces farmland borrowing costs now, with more savings possible once federal guidance clarifies which loans qualify.
ARC-CO delivers the bulk of 2024 support, offering key margin relief as producers manage tight operating conditions.
Higher menu prices and tax-free tips are reshaping restaurant economics, sharply lifting server take-home pay even as diners face higher out-the-door costs.
USDA’s steady yields and heavy global stocks keep grains range-bound unless demand firms or South American weather becomes a real threat.
As economic pressures continue to squeeze agriculture, ag lenders are signaling a more cautious outlook for farm profitability heading into next year, particularly among grain producers facing lower commodity prices and higher operating costs.
China’s cost advantage with Brazilian soybeans and vague public messaging leave U.S. export prospects uncertain heading into winter.