Poultry Production Expands While Prices and Exports Face Pressure

Rising poultry supply is pressuring prices despite steady demand.

A photo of two little boys playing inside a greenhouse with farm animals including chickens, ducks and a fluffy white farm dog.

FarmHER Jen Welch (Season 1, Episode 2)

FarmHER, Inc.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — Broiler and egg production are increasing in 2026, but weaker export demand and softer prices are creating mixed conditions across the poultry sector, according to the USDA’s latest Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook.

Broiler production is forecast to rise 1.9 percent to 48.9 billion pounds, supported by higher slaughter rates and heavier bird weights. Early-year indicators, including chick placements and hatch rates, point to continued production growth in the months ahead.

Despite increased output, exports are trending lower. Broiler shipments declined early in the year, with reduced demand from key markets like Mexico, Cuba, and Taiwan only partially offset by gains in countries such as Vietnam and the Philippines. Total 2026 exports are projected to be slightly lower than last year.

Prices are also under pressure. Broiler prices are expected to average lower in 2026, reflecting increased supply and softer demand.

In the egg sector, production is rebounding sharply as flocks recover, pushing prices significantly lower compared to last year. Turkey production and exports are increasing, supported by the recovery from prior disease impacts.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Rising poultry supply is pressuring prices despite steady demand.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Food prices increased in December, but not as much as expected, according to the latest Consumer Price Index from the U.S. Bureau of Labor and Statistics.
Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities joined us to provide analysis on the January WASDE report and expectations for grain markets going forward.
Strong pork demand and improving beef exports outside China support protein markets despite ongoing trade barriers.
Market reaction was bearish for corn and soybeans, with analysts noting that abundant supplies amid tepid demand could keep price pressure on agricultural commodities.
Logistics capacity remains available, but winter volatility favors flexible delivery and marketing plans. NGFA President Mike Seyfert provides insight into grain transportation trends, trade policy, and priorities for the year ahead.
Rising adoption of GLP-1 drugs may gradually reshape food demand, with potential downstream effects on protein markets and consumer purchasing patterns.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Strong global demand and falling stocks suggest continued price volatility for U.S. coffee buyers despite record world production.
U.S. dairy producers remain the primary growth engine globally, while tightening supplies in Europe and New Zealand could support export demand for American dairy products.
Fewer acres and stronger prices suggest disciplined hop production is supporting market balance despite lower output.
Benchmark machinery costs against those of similar-sized, high-performing operations to inform equipment and investment decisions.
Record pace corn exports are helping stabilize prices despite softer global grain production and ongoing supply competition.
Broader export demand helps stabilize prices and supports stronger marketing opportunities over time.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.