Record Peanut Crop Leaves Market Searching for Direction

Strong supplies and rising stocks point to continued price pressure unless demand accelerates.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. peanut growers enter 2026 facing abundant supplies after record production in 2025, with acreage, output, and ending stocks all pointing to continued market pressure. USDA data show peanut planted area reached 1.95 million acres last year — the highest since 1991 — driven largely by expanded acreage in Georgia and Texas.

National peanut yields averaged 3,767 pounds per acre, modestly higher than 2024 but below the five-year average. Georgia posted stronger year-over-year yields, while Texas recorded its lowest state yield since the mid-1990s, partially offsetting gains elsewhere. Despite mixed yields, total U.S. peanut production reached an estimated 3.59 million tons, up 11 percent and narrowly setting a new record.

Demand is expected to grow in the 2025-26 marketing year, but not fast enough to absorb the larger crop. USDA projects peanut disappearance rising 6 percent, while ending stocks are forecast to climb 24 percent, keeping downward pressure on prices.

Looking ahead, competing crops offer little relief. Corn and cotton prices remain soft, suggesting peanut acreage could stay elevated in 2026 despite heavier supplies.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong supplies and rising stocks point to continued price pressure unless demand accelerates.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
The new AFBF Women in Agriculture survey is accepting responses from women in the industry across the United States now through March 31.
The USDA’s latest Hogs and Pigs Report caught some analysts off guard. Inventories came in lower than expected, signaling tighter supplies ahead, even as producers return to profitability this year.
Southern farms are deepening online engagement for cost savings and market access, while higher-cost precision technologies face renewed scrutiny amid tight budgets.
Slightly higher output amid softer gasoline pull points to steady corn grind — watch regional stocks and export pace for basis clues.
Expect firm calf and fed-cattle prices — pair selective heifer retention with prudent hedging and liquidity to bridge rebuilding costs.
The Louisiana cotton crop is the smallest on record, but strong yields are a silver lining. LSU AgCenter’s Craig Gautreaux reports from northeast Louisiana.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Tight feeder supplies and lower placements indicate continued support for the cattle market, with regional impacts heightened in Texas by reduced feeder imports.
Weather-driven transportation disruptions can tighten logistics, affect basis levels, and delay grain movement during winter months.
Lower milk prices may pressure margins, but strong cattle values could soften near-term financial impacts.
Record ethanol production, coupled with stronger demand, supports corn use despite tighter margins elsewhere.
A new maritime biofuels coalition aims to position ocean shipping as a significant growth market for U.S. crops and waste-derived fuels.
Larger operations maintain cost advantages, while softer equipment sales suggest producers are pacing machinery upgrades amid tighter margins.