Rep. Dusty Johnson: Why U.S. Beef Prices Need to Stay High — For Now

Cattle imports from Mexico remain stalled amid the New World screwworm outbreak. At the same time, Tyson closures add pressure on Nebraska producers and markets ahead of the USDA’s upcoming Cattle on Feed Report.

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD-TV) — Officials on both sides of the U.S.-Mexico border remain eager to see a reopening of cattle imports from Mexico as both nations fight the spread of New World Screwworm. However, market analyst Sam Hudson told RFD-TV News that nothing will happen quickly.

“As cold as we are here in the Central U.S, it’d be nice to get some of that up here in a safe manner, and maybe eradicate some of those fears,” Hudson said. “But it’s just going to take time to figure out all the logistics of it. I’m hard-pressed to think that we’re not going to see some clinks along the way as we go through those efforts. So I think that’s going to continue to contribute some volatility here.”

The U.S.-Mexico border has been closed since spring due to concerns of the New World screwworm. Just recently, another case was confirmed in Mexico, 120 miles south of the border. So far, no cases have been confirmed here in the U.S. during this current outbreak.

Cattle leaders in Nebraska say they are adjusting to recent shakeups by Tyson, but warn that the ‘Big Four’ Beef Packer packer’s closure in the state is leaving a big hole that could be difficult to fill. “We’ve been working with this plant since its inception -- and even before it was here -- we’ve always had packing capacity right here in Dawson County,” explained Craig Uden, Nebraska Cattle Feeder and President-Elect of the Nebraska Cattlemen Board of Directors.So Tyson came along, we had plants like Cornland at the time of it, a Cargill plant, and they shut down when this plant took over.”

Uden says other options in the state are limited, and he is most concerned about the smaller operations’ ability to absorb added costs.

On the consumer side, beef prices remain high. Rep. Dusty Johnson, R-SD, told RFD-TV News that consumer prices are where they need to be for the record-low herd to expand.

“What I try to tell my urban colleagues and the white house is not to get so nervous about the fact that prices are pretty good for the cattle guys right now, because they need that money in their pockets,” Rep. Johnson said. “If they’re going to go out and buy more pastureland and buy more heifers, if we want more American beef, we have got to have them believe that they can have good prices long enough to recover that investment. And so, I don’t love seeing that shackle space disappear because I do think it makes it harder for us to build that herd in a long-term, sustainable way.”

We’ll get another read on the U.S. cattle herd next week when the USDA drops its Cattle on Feed Report, due out next Friday afternoon.

Related Stories
Screwworm.gov has targeted resources for a wide range of stakeholders, including livestock producers, veterinarians, animal health officials, wildlife professionals, healthcare providers, pet owners, researchers, drug manufacturers, and the general public.
Sen. Roger Marshall discusses the Senate’s unanimous passage of the Whole Milk for Healthy Kids Act and what expanded milk options could mean for students and dairy farmers. Industry groups say it is a win for student nutrition and dairy producers.
Crop producers face tightening credit and lower incomes, while strong cattle markets continue to stabilize finances in livestock-heavy regions.
Early Cattle-on-Feed estimates point to slightly tighter cattle supplies, reinforcing the need to monitor prices and timing for winter marketing.
Removing the 40% duty sharply lowers U.S. beef import costs on beef, coffee, fertilizer and fruit, and restores Brazil’s competitiveness during a period of tight domestic supply.
Row crop losses in 2025 are outpacing last year. With no disaster aid yet approved, many operations face a tough financial bridge to 2026 even as Farm Bill improvements remain a year away.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Shaun Haney, Host of RealAg Radio on Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147, joined us with his 2026 cattle market outlook and insights on beef prices.
Farmer Bridge Assistance payments provide immediate balance-sheet support heading into 2026, but remain a short-term bridge rather than a substitute for long-term market recovery.
The New Year is here, but in Oregon, some ranchers and livestock producers are still trying to recover from record wildfires back in 2024.
The U.S. Forest Service takes us on the same journey from a tree farm in Nevada across America to experience the magic of Christmas in the U.S. Capitol.
Rep. Randy Feenstra, R-IA, details how the “One, Big, Beautiful Bill” Act (OBBBA) supports farmers, biofuels, and rural communities with tax breaks, crop insurance relief, and ag infrastructure.
Jake Charleston of Specialty Risk Insurance shares risk-reduction strategies to help cattle producers prepare for a successful year ahead.