Rep. Dusty Johnson: Why U.S. Beef Prices Need to Stay High — For Now

Cattle imports from Mexico remain stalled amid the New World screwworm outbreak. At the same time, Tyson closures add pressure on Nebraska producers and markets ahead of the USDA’s upcoming Cattle on Feed Report.

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD-TV) — Officials on both sides of the U.S.-Mexico border remain eager to see a reopening of cattle imports from Mexico as both nations fight the spread of New World Screwworm. However, market analyst Sam Hudson told RFD-TV News that nothing will happen quickly.

“As cold as we are here in the Central U.S, it’d be nice to get some of that up here in a safe manner, and maybe eradicate some of those fears,” Hudson said. “But it’s just going to take time to figure out all the logistics of it. I’m hard-pressed to think that we’re not going to see some clinks along the way as we go through those efforts. So I think that’s going to continue to contribute some volatility here.”

The U.S.-Mexico border has been closed since spring due to concerns of the New World screwworm. Just recently, another case was confirmed in Mexico, 120 miles south of the border. So far, no cases have been confirmed here in the U.S. during this current outbreak.

Cattle leaders in Nebraska say they are adjusting to recent shakeups by Tyson, but warn that the ‘Big Four’ Beef Packer packer’s closure in the state is leaving a big hole that could be difficult to fill. “We’ve been working with this plant since its inception -- and even before it was here -- we’ve always had packing capacity right here in Dawson County,” explained Craig Uden, Nebraska Cattle Feeder and President-Elect of the Nebraska Cattlemen Board of Directors.So Tyson came along, we had plants like Cornland at the time of it, a Cargill plant, and they shut down when this plant took over.”

Uden says other options in the state are limited, and he is most concerned about the smaller operations’ ability to absorb added costs.

On the consumer side, beef prices remain high. Rep. Dusty Johnson, R-SD, told RFD-TV News that consumer prices are where they need to be for the record-low herd to expand.

“What I try to tell my urban colleagues and the white house is not to get so nervous about the fact that prices are pretty good for the cattle guys right now, because they need that money in their pockets,” Rep. Johnson said. “If they’re going to go out and buy more pastureland and buy more heifers, if we want more American beef, we have got to have them believe that they can have good prices long enough to recover that investment. And so, I don’t love seeing that shackle space disappear because I do think it makes it harder for us to build that herd in a long-term, sustainable way.”

We’ll get another read on the U.S. cattle herd next week when the USDA drops its Cattle on Feed Report, due out next Friday afternoon.

Related Stories
CoBank Lead Grains Economist Tanner Ehmke joins us to share insight and concerns over current grain storage capacity as export demand lags.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer shares his perspective on the uncertain outlook of federal farm relief and the Farm Bill, which may not materialize until the government shutdown ends.
Large animal veterinarian Dr. Rosalyn Biggs with Oklahoma State University warns producers may not be prepared for the real threat of New World Screwworm.
As the government shutdown pushes the farm economy closer to the brink, Sens. Grassley and Ernst of Iowa are raising their voices for agriculture.
Considering raising your own replacements instead of buying bred heifers? Three key factors to consider before investing capital.
Dr. Jeffrey Gold discusses eye protection and injury prevention in everyday agricultural activities on Rural Health Matters.
Reliable, clearly graded middle meats still anchor demand; programs that deliver consistent eating quality and simple, confidence-building menus capture more repeat visits—and more value—back through the beef chain.
Prepare for tighter cash flow, delayed capital buys, and policy-driven risk management this fall.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD-TV and The Cowboy Channel. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, adding a decade of experience in the digital side of broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

USDA released the November WASDE Report on Friday, the first supply-and-demand estimate to drop since September, just before the 43-day government shutdown.
U.S. Trade officials announced new deals with El Salvador, Guatemala, Ecuador, and Argentina, as well as a steep reduction in tariffs on Swiss imports.
China’s cost advantage with Brazilian soybeans and vague public messaging leave U.S. export prospects uncertain heading into winter.
Expanded aerial capacity strengthens the U.S.–Mexico buffer against screwworm, providing cattle producers with stronger protection heading into winter and reducing risk to herds along the southern tier.
AFBF economist Faith Parum breaks down the potential impact of the proposed policy change to allow year-round sales of E15 biofuel.
The request follows pressure from the American Sheep Industry Association (ASIA), which called for a formal investigation into whether lamb imports from Australia and New Zealand have cut into the U.S. market share.