Rep. Dusty Johnson: Why U.S. Beef Prices Need to Stay High — For Now

Cattle imports from Mexico remain stalled amid the New World screwworm outbreak. At the same time, Tyson closures add pressure on Nebraska producers and markets ahead of the USDA’s upcoming Cattle on Feed Report.

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD-TV) — Officials on both sides of the U.S.-Mexico border remain eager to see a reopening of cattle imports from Mexico as both nations fight the spread of New World Screwworm. However, market analyst Sam Hudson told RFD-TV News that nothing will happen quickly.

“As cold as we are here in the Central U.S, it’d be nice to get some of that up here in a safe manner, and maybe eradicate some of those fears,” Hudson said. “But it’s just going to take time to figure out all the logistics of it. I’m hard-pressed to think that we’re not going to see some clinks along the way as we go through those efforts. So I think that’s going to continue to contribute some volatility here.”

The U.S.-Mexico border has been closed since spring due to concerns of the New World screwworm. Just recently, another case was confirmed in Mexico, 120 miles south of the border. So far, no cases have been confirmed here in the U.S. during this current outbreak.

Cattle leaders in Nebraska say they are adjusting to recent shakeups by Tyson, but warn that the ‘Big Four’ Beef Packer packer’s closure in the state is leaving a big hole that could be difficult to fill. “We’ve been working with this plant since its inception -- and even before it was here -- we’ve always had packing capacity right here in Dawson County,” explained Craig Uden, Nebraska Cattle Feeder and President-Elect of the Nebraska Cattlemen Board of Directors.So Tyson came along, we had plants like Cornland at the time of it, a Cargill plant, and they shut down when this plant took over.”

Uden says other options in the state are limited, and he is most concerned about the smaller operations’ ability to absorb added costs.

On the consumer side, beef prices remain high. Rep. Dusty Johnson, R-SD, told RFD-TV News that consumer prices are where they need to be for the record-low herd to expand.

“What I try to tell my urban colleagues and the white house is not to get so nervous about the fact that prices are pretty good for the cattle guys right now, because they need that money in their pockets,” Rep. Johnson said. “If they’re going to go out and buy more pastureland and buy more heifers, if we want more American beef, we have got to have them believe that they can have good prices long enough to recover that investment. And so, I don’t love seeing that shackle space disappear because I do think it makes it harder for us to build that herd in a long-term, sustainable way.”

We’ll get another read on the U.S. cattle herd next week when the USDA drops its Cattle on Feed Report, due out next Friday afternoon.

Related Stories
China’s beef policy risk stems from domestic volatility, making export demand inherently unstable. Jake Charleston with Specialty Risk Insurance offers his perspective on cattle markets, risk management, and producer sentiment.
USDA flash corn sales, Cattle on Feed and Inventory reports, and beef packer antitrust concerns dominate January agricultural market news.
U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins said permanent access to the higher ethanol blend would provide farmers with much-needed certainty while supporting domestic crop demand.
Food prices increased in December, but not as much as expected, according to the latest Consumer Price Index from the U.S. Bureau of Labor and Statistics.
Structural efficiency supports cattle prices and resilience — breaking it risks higher costs and greater volatility.
Strong pork demand and improving beef exports outside China support protein markets despite ongoing trade barriers.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Mike Knotts with the Tennessee Electric Cooperative Association joined us with the latest on storm impacts, power restoration, and safety considerations following the ice storm.
Brooks York with AgriSompo joined us with his outlook on crop insurance and risk management following the recent winter storm that tore through most of the United States, including the Midwest.
Placements and marketings beat expectations, but declining on-feed totals and feeder constraints keep the supply story supportive for cattle prices into 2026. Dr. Derrell Peel, with Oklahoma State University, joined us to break down cattle-on-feed numbers and provide his broader market outlook.
USDA Rural Development Director for Kentucky, Travis Burton, joined us to discuss the Princeton facility (formerly Porter Road Meats), now backed by the USDA, and its role in expanding domestic meat processing capacity.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer joined us to break down the recent Fifth Circuit Court decision overturning a prior Tax Court decision on self-employment tax for limited partners, the ruling’s impact on farmers, and potential next steps in Congress.
Americans for Prosperity Arkansas Director Ryan Norris talks energy infrastructure, regulatory reform, and the role of critical minerals in supporting rural America.