NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Southern row-crop producers closed 2025 facing another season marked by weather extremes, tight margins, and shifting acreage decisions — a combination that kept many farms near or below breakeven for the third consecutive year. For growers across the region, higher production costs and persistently weak commodity prices continued to outweigh localized yield gains.
Extension economists from Alabama to Texas report similar themes. Widespread prevented planting, late-season drought, and new pest pressures — including the expanding cotton jassid — lowered yield potential and added to input and management costs. Even where corn, cotton, peanut, or soybean yields exceeded five-year averages, many producers struggled to capture price rallies due to limited storage, early harvest timing, or cautious marketing strategies.
Financial stress intensified as producers faced negative returns, high interest expenses, and tighter credit standards. Several states highlighted growing concerns about depleted working capital and multi-year operating debt that will carry into 2026 — especially on row-crop-focused farms without livestock income to offset losses.
Acreage patterns shifted notably. Corn gained ground at the expense of cotton in multiple states, while peanuts expanded in Georgia, and rice acreage climbed in Louisiana. Soybeans held their footprint in some areas but declined sharply in others amid lower prices and early-season weather delays.
Looking ahead, Extension specialists warn that producers will enter 2026 with elevated cost structures, uncertain price trends, and heightened reliance on ad hoc assistance, making crop insurance, rotations, and marketing discipline critical for financial survival.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Southern producers head into 2026 with thin margins, tighter credit, and rising agronomic risks despite scattered yield improvements.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Rabobank’s outlook signals a tightening margin environment, emphasizing the need for cost control, trade stability, and clearer policy signals heading into 2026.
October 31, 2025 11:44 AM
·
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer joined us on Thursday’s Market Day Report to discuss the implications for farmers.
October 30, 2025 02:37 PM
·
“It does not extinguish right away here — in any sort of sense — the real profitability concerns and people’s ability to pay bills and get to the other side of this in the very short term. This is where the skepticism builds.”
October 30, 2025 02:20 PM
·
U.S. Senator Roger Marshall (R-KS) shares his perspective on the U.S.-China trade developments and their potential impact on American producers, farmers, and ranchers.
October 30, 2025 12:56 PM
·
Rich Nelson, a commodity broker for Allendale Inc., joins us to break down what the U.S.-China trade agreement means for the ag economy.
October 30, 2025 12:04 PM
·
The U.S.-China summit raises hopes for stronger exports and reduced barriers, but U.S. ag players should remain strategically cautious until concrete volumes and certifications materialize.
October 30, 2025 10:37 AM
·
Tara Vander Dussen, fifth-generation dairy farmer, environmental scientist, and co-host of Discover Ag, joined RFD-TV to talk about her work in agriculture and her passion for sharing the story of dairy.
October 29, 2025 03:33 PM
·
Prepare for softer milk checks into winter, watch cull-cow values and timing, and stress-test cash flow as product prices recalibrate.
October 29, 2025 03:11 PM
·
Expect incremental near-term lift for feed grains, proteins, and ethanol as tariff cuts and smoother approvals translate into real orders.
October 29, 2025 03:04 PM
·