Tight Grain Storage Drives Surge in Rail Shipments

Pressure on grain storage capacity and stronger export positioning are pushing more grain onto railroads, highways, and river systems as logistics become a key bottleneck this fall.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Grain transportation networks are under heavy pressure this fall as U.S. grain supplies exceed available storage for the first time since 2016. USDA estimates total fall grain supplies at 25.66 billion bushels — about 10% above average — leaving a national storage deficit of 184 million bushels. That shortage is forcing more grain into rapid movement, heightening demand for rail, barge, and truck capacity heading into winter.

States with the most profound storage deficits include Iowa (-390 mbu), Kansas (-320 mbu), South Dakota (-318 mbu), North Dakota (-310 mbu), Nebraska (-257 mbu), and Minnesota (-205 mbu). These same states now account for most of the emergency storage authorized under the U.S. Warehouse Act. Rail traffic is responding, with Kansas, Minnesota, and South Dakota each loading significantly more grain cars over the past six weeks.

Producers are also seeing infrastructure support expand. In Ohio, a $500,000 state grant will help rehabilitate R.J. Corman’s Western Ohio Lines, improving access to multiple grain elevators served by CSX and Norfolk Southern. Meanwhile, Iowa has temporarily suspended weight limits for grain and fertilizer transport through December 19, allowing trucks up to 90,000 pounds on non-interstate highways.

Export activity remains steady despite logistics strain, with unshipped balances for corn, soybeans, and wheat up 8% from last year. But barge movements dipped 12% last week, and ocean vessel loadings from the Gulf remain below year-ago levels. Brian Hoops, of Midwest Market Solutions, says USDA’s latest data shows solid sales for corn, soybeans, and wheat. He says rains are helping parts of South America, though some regions still need moisture, and early soybean interest from China is adding support.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Tight grain storage and stronger export positioning are pushing more grain onto railroads, highways, and river systems as logistics become a key bottleneck this fall.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
The September WASDE report comes out on Friday at Noon ET. As always, we’ll bring you those numbers right here on Market Day Report along with our expert
Let’s take a look at harvest progress as of early September 2025, across all 50 U.S. States, prepared by Market Day Report anchor and RFD-TV Markets Expert Tony St. James.
Pressure to lower gas prices across the Golden State could be the saving grace of this year’s corn harvest. California may soon be the final U.S. state to approve E-15 sales.
Both Congressional Ag Committees took up the bill over the summer, but there’s no word on when the Senate could move forward; it does expire on September 30.
Lewie Pugh, with the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association, joined us on Monday’s Market Day Report with his insights on the incident and a deeper dive into the issues at hand.
As the Trump Administration seeks out new global trade partnerships, Congress is considering more support for farmers, which comes as the Federal Reserve warns that farmers need a safety net.
Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins will travel to Europe and Asia to seek new trade partnerships for U.S. crops after China reduced imports due to tariffs.
Co-Bank Lead Dairy Economist, Corey Geiger, joined us on Friday’s Market Day Report for a further look at the drop in replacement heifers and the trend’s longterm impact on dairy producers and cattle prices.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The USDA is moving to close the farm trade gap through promotion, missions, and stronger export financing.
Estate tax relief reduces pressure, but succession planning remains the critical challenge for farm families.
Fewer placements and historically low marketings point to tighter cattle supplies ahead, with Nebraska and Kansas gaining ground as Texas feedlots face supply pressure and the threat of New World Screwworm.
Farmers should anticipate continued upward pressure on farm labor costs and monitor policy changes that may further impact hiring decisions.
Cotton farmers should weigh potential PLC payments against STAX coverage and act before the September 30 deadline.
U.S. produce growers face a structural disadvantage—cheaper imports driving down prices while rising labor costs squeeze margins. Without new policies or technology, profitability remains uncertain.