U.S. Immigration Policy Shifts Could Reshape Farm Labor Supply

Labor supply may shift, but uncertainty remains for producers.

immigration statue of liberty adobe stock.png

Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — Changes in immigration policy could significantly reshape the U.S. agricultural labor force in 2026, with potential shifts away from undocumented workers toward expanded use of H-2A guest workers. Economists with North Carolina State Extension say agriculture remains especially vulnerable due to its heavy reliance on foreign labor.

Foreign workers make up roughly two-thirds of the farm labor force, with undocumented workers accounting for about 40 percent of hired crop labor. Tighter enforcement policies could reduce that workforce, particularly in labor-intensive regions like California, Florida, and the Southeast.

The H-2A program continues to expand, with more than 300,000 visas issued in 2024. Recent program changes — including adjustments to wage calculations and the introduction of skill-based pay tiers — are expected to lower wage requirements in many states and encourage greater use of the program.

While increased H-2A participation could offset some labor losses, challenges remain. Costs, administrative burdens, and long-term labor availability continue to concern producers.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Labor supply may shift, but uncertainty remains for producers.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist

Farmers across the U.S. are under immense pressure lately, and specialty crop growers are no exception.

The Georgia Fruit and Vegetable Growers Association is putting the spotlight on trade as farmers explain what they are facing in today’s farm economy. Produce is big business in Georgia, with the USDA reporting that there are around 3,000 to 4,000 farms there dedicated to specialty crops.

Related Stories
Bottom line: Despite all the efforts advocates make, workers are still making less money.
The North Carolina Farm Bureau highlights the work being done on Sound Mind Farms, a farm producing hemp to make sustainable fabrics.
Assistance for losses due to flooding and wildfire on non-federally managed land
After losing her sight, Missouri FarmHER Alda Owen built a life on her terms — then Sweet Baby Joe came along to take it even further.
Rep. Mike Simpson (R-ID) joined us on Champions of Rural America to share his insights on upcoming changes to public land management and how they will benefit agriculture and the Western working class.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The new county maps show farm program payments are widespread, but payment design still produces very different outcomes across regions and crops. AgriSompo’s Brooks York joins us to discuss the role of crop insurance in supporting mental health.
Seasonal pricing strength is lining up with crop stress, giving wheat producers another weather-driven marketing window. Shaun Haney joins us to discuss concerns from ag bankers on farm profitability.
The spending bill keeps animal health and traceability funding in place while trimming several other USDA accounts.
Spring Fieldwork Advances As Weather Stays Uneven
March brought better prices for several commodities, but rising fuel and feed costs kept margins under pressure.
Farmers still earn only a small share of consumer food spending, even as post-farm costs continue to take most of the dollar.