U.S. Immigration Policy Shifts Could Reshape Farm Labor Supply

Labor supply may shift, but uncertainty remains for producers.

immigration statue of liberty adobe stock.png

Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — Changes in immigration policy could significantly reshape the U.S. agricultural labor force in 2026, with potential shifts away from undocumented workers toward expanded use of H-2A guest workers. Economists with North Carolina State Extension say agriculture remains especially vulnerable due to its heavy reliance on foreign labor.

Foreign workers make up roughly two-thirds of the farm labor force, with undocumented workers accounting for about 40 percent of hired crop labor. Tighter enforcement policies could reduce that workforce, particularly in labor-intensive regions like California, Florida, and the Southeast.

The H-2A program continues to expand, with more than 300,000 visas issued in 2024. Recent program changes — including adjustments to wage calculations and the introduction of skill-based pay tiers — are expected to lower wage requirements in many states and encourage greater use of the program.

While increased H-2A participation could offset some labor losses, challenges remain. Costs, administrative burdens, and long-term labor availability continue to concern producers.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Labor supply may shift, but uncertainty remains for producers.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist

Farmers across the U.S. are under immense pressure lately, and specialty crop growers are no exception.

The Georgia Fruit and Vegetable Growers Association is putting the spotlight on trade as farmers explain what they are facing in today’s farm economy. Produce is big business in Georgia, with the USDA reporting that there are around 3,000 to 4,000 farms there dedicated to specialty crops.

Related Stories
Mike Stranz joins us to discuss farm safety net reforms, NFU’s proposed IMSET program, and the challenges facing family farmers nationwide.
The investigation does not prove wrongdoing, but it raises federal scrutiny of a major cost center for crop producers.
The state-level focus is split between labeling and sales restrictions.
Richard Gupton says reliable roads, bridges and rail systems remain essential for ag retailers and the broader farm supply chain.
Sponsored
Premieres on Wednesday, June 3
7:30 PM ET | 6:30 PM CT | 5:30 PM MT | 4:30 PM PT
The pricing signals come as biofuel and corn groups continue to press Congress for permanent nationwide E15 access.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

With U.S. cattle supplies already tight, drought response remains a long-term supply issue.
According to OPIS, the city is preparing for a projected Level 1 Water Emergency tied to a prolonged five-year drought.
Mexico’s demand for U.S. corn, soybeans, and wheat remained mostly steady during the first quarter, despite higher transportation costs.
The temporary closures come as grain traffic on the Arkansas River continues running ahead of recent years.
Shrinking Select beef supplies are continuing to reshape cattle pricing and beef demand trends.
Applications are open through July 27, 2026, on Grants.gov.