WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — Lower shipping costs are improving the competitive position of U.S. wheat moving into Japan, even as export volumes show some softness.
U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) data show that total landed costs declined both quarter-to-quarter and year-over-year for shipments originating in Kansas and North Dakota. Costs ranged from roughly $7.00 to $8.80 per bushel equivalent, with most of the decline tied to lower farm values and some easing in transportation costs.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Lower costs improve competitiveness, but demand remains uncertain.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Transportation trends varied by route. Pacific Northwest corridors held steady, with overall costs slightly lower, while Gulf routes saw modest increases tied to higher ocean freight rates. Strong global demand for bulk shipping — especially from China’s imports of iron ore and coal — continues to support vessel rates.
Rail and truck markets were mixed. Rail rates declined for Kansas shipments compared to a year ago, but edged higher for North Dakota. Truck rates rose sharply in Kansas but declined in North Dakota, reflecting regional differences in freight demand.
Even with lower costs, wheat shipments to Japan declined, signaling that demand remains a limiting factor despite improved pricing competitiveness.
USDA’s 2026 Food Price Outlook projects food prices rising 3.1%, with higher beef costs and falling egg prices shaping consumer trends.
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