USDA 2025 Small Grains Report Shows Mixed Outcomes

USDA’s report shows wheat strength overall, with winter wheat yields setting records, while spring wheat and rye saw declines. Oats and barley remain constrained by record-low acreage despite stable or rising yields.

grain 1280x720.jpg

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) 2025 Small Grains Annual Summary (PDF Version) shows mixed results across oats, barley, rye, and wheat, with acreage shifts and record yields shaping the year’s harvest.

Oats

Production reached 69.6 million bushels, a 2 percent increase from 2024, driven by larger harvested acreage despite lower yields. At 944,000 acres harvested, the area was up 6 percent, though still among the lowest on record. Record high yields were reported in Illinois, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, while planted acres hit record lows in Idaho, Maine, New York, and Oregon.

Barley

Production fell 2 percent to 141 million bushels, even as yields reached a record 80 bushels per acre. Nationally seeded area fell to 2.3 million acres, the lowest on record. Harvested acres were down 7 percent year over year, with conditions rated sharply lower in early August compared to 2024.

Rye

Production fell 15 percent to 12.5 million bushels, with both harvested acres and yields slipping from last year’s record levels. Pennsylvania planted a record high acreage, while North Carolina hit record lows.

Winter Wheat

Production totaled 1.40 billion bushels, up 3 percent from last year, with record yields reported in several states, including Georgia, Illinois, Michigan, Missouri, South Carolina, and Texas. Harvested area was 25.5 million acres, down 3 percent, while Hard Red Winter wheat reached 804 million bushels, up 4 percent, and Soft Red Winter wheat hit 353 million bushels, up 2 percent. White winter wheat was estimated at 244 million bushels, up 3 percent.

Spring Wheat

Output dropped 9 percent to 497 million bushels, reflecting an 8 percent decline in harvested acres. Yields, however, were still historically strong at 51.7 bushels per acre. Hard Red Spring accounted for 458 million bushels, down 9 percent from 2024.

Durum Wheat

Production rose 8 percent to 86.2 million bushels on higher acreage and improved yields. Montana’s output jumped 29 percent, while North Dakota, the top producer, posted a 3 percent gain.

Farm-Level Takeaway: USDA’s report shows wheat strength overall, with winter wheat yields setting records, while spring wheat and rye saw declines. Oats and barley remain constrained by record-low acreage despite stable or rising yields.
Related Stories
HHS Secretary Robert Kennedy calls on cattle producers to retain breeding cows while Ivomec receives emergency authorization to prevent New World screwworm.
Policies aimed at ground beef prices may primarily reshape dairy incentives rather than deliver lasting consumer savings.
Regulatory uncertainty could slow the growth of fiber and grain hemp unless implementation is delayed.
Modest rate relief may come late in 2026, but borrowing costs are likely to stay elevated.
Purdue University Professor of Agricultural Economics Dr. Jim Mintert shares a closer look at farmer sentiment and the key issues shaping the agricultural economy in January.
China-led demand continues to anchor soybean and sorghum exports despite weekly swings.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Cotton acres slipping as competing crops gain ground.
Rising Chinese feed output — especially for swine — signals sustained demand for protein meals and feed inputs, even when meat production growth appears modest.
Ethanol output is improving, but weak domestic demand and export headwinds temper optimism about corn demand. Renewable Fuels Association President & CEO Geoff Cooper discusses the latest developments on Federal approval of year-round E15.
Nitrogen and phosphate markets are tightening ahead of spring, keeping fertilizer costs elevated while crop prices lag.
In the U.S. and Canada, reduced planted acres—not yield losses—led to a decline in potato production, while Mexico saw modest gains due to increased yields and harvested areas.
AFBF Economist Samantha Ayoub discusses the latest data on Chapter 12 farm bankruptcy filings and what the troubling trend signals for the farm economy. At the same time, bigger loans and higher rates are squeezing working capital and increasing financial risk.