Wheat Freight Costs Challenge Stronger Japanese Export Outlook

Higher ocean freight rates continue adding pressure to U.S. wheat exports despite stronger demand projections.

Aerial of cargo ship carrying container for export cargo from cargo yard port to other ocean concept smart freight shipping ship front view_Photo by Yellow Boat via AdobeStock_1601867486.jpg

Aerial of a cargo ship carrying a container of exports.

Photo by Yellow Boat via Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, TN (RFD NEWS) — Transportation costs remain a major hurdle for U.S. wheat moving to Japan, even as USDA projects stronger wheat exports this marketing year.

USDA’s Grain Transportation Report shows freight accounted for 35 to 39 percent of first-quarter landed costs from Kansas and North Dakota.

Converted to bushels, transportation costs ranged from about $2.65 per bushel for Kansas wheat moving through the Pacific Northwest to $3.56 per bushel for North Dakota wheat shipped through the Gulf. Total landed costs ranged from about $7.44 to $9.04 per bushel.

Ocean freight increased from a year earlier, rising 14 percent through Pacific Northwest routes and 19 percent through Gulf routes. Higher bunker fuel costs and strong Asian shipping demand contributed to those increases.

Even with higher freight pressure, lower farm values kept total landed costs below last year across all four routes. North Dakota wheat moving through the Gulf remained the most expensive route.

USDA projects 2025/26 wheat exports near 910 million bushels, up 10 percent from the previous year, making transportation costs and export competitiveness increasingly important.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Stronger wheat exports help demand, but high freight costs continue to limit producer competitiveness in overseas markets.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney explains how conflict in the Middle East is affecting spring planting as farmers navigate the evolving situation.
NCGA Chief Economist Krista Swanson discusses the evolving role of ethanol in the current energy crisis, opportunities for expanding corn discusses the evolving role of ethanol in the current marketdemand, and the industry’s outlook moving forward.
Energy risks could reshape global ag trade flows.
The ag trade deficit is narrowing, but export competition remains strong.
Agricultural groups warn that the deal could limit competition and raise transportation costs for farmers
The Trump Administration’s new rule limiting CDL renewals for immigrant truckers is seeing mixed reactions in agriculture. While some support the change, it is raising concerns about higher freight costs and impacts on U.S. grain export competitiveness.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney explains shifting global trade dynamics and what they could mean for agriculture and energy markets.
Rising diesel and energy costs are squeezing farmers and rural communities, increasing production expenses and raising concerns about consumer demand for beef even as U.S. meat exports regain the Australian market.
Rising input costs may squeeze margins and shift planting decisions. Scott Metzger with the American Soybean Association discusses fertilizer market pressures and what is at stake for farmers as planting season ramps up.
Fertilizer relief may be limited despite the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz this week. AgriSompo’s Brooks York discusses marketing strategies, crop insurance considerations, and other tips for producers navigating volatility this planting season.
Reduced driver supply may increase freight costs this season.
Global trade uncertainty could impact long-term export opportunities.