AFBF: Artificial Christmas Tree Imports Undercut U.S. Farms with Shrinking Production Capacity

Buying a real Christmas tree directly supports U.S. farmers facing rising import competition, long production cycles, and weather-driven risks.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Real Christmas tree growers face rising competitive and structural pressures as imported artificial trees expand sharply in U.S. markets. With most American families unaware of the decade-long timeline required to grow a marketable tree, the industry is increasingly challenged by weather volatility, labor shortages, and long-term acreage decline.

Production capacity has contracted significantly, says the American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF). Between 2002 and 2022, farms harvesting Christmas trees fell nearly 30 percent, and acreage dropped more than 150,000 acres, a 35 percent reduction shaped by complex economics and slow biological timelines. Retail-ready trees typically require seven to 10 years to grow, exposing farmers to years of insect pressure, disease risk, and extreme weather.

ChristmasTree_AFBF_3.png

U.S. Imports of Artificial Christmas Trees (2025)

American Farm Bureau Federation

According to the American Farm Bureau Federation, artificial trees — 85% to 95% imported from China — have become the dominant competitor, replacing years of real-tree demand with a single purchase. Imports have surged from $170 million in 2000 to more than $500 million in 2024, exerting continuous price pressure on domestic growers.

ChristmasTree1_AFBF_Fix.png

Cut Christmas Tree Production by State (2025)

American Farm Bureau Federation

Regionally, Oregon and North Carolina lead production, while farms nationwide face rising labor costs, land constraints, and limited risk-management tools that offer little protection from multiyear losses.

Looking ahead, growers say consumer choices are increasingly tied to farm survival, as U.S.-grown real trees support domestic jobs, preserve open space, and sequester carbon throughout their decade-long growth.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Buying a real Christmas tree directly supports U.S. farmers facing rising import competition, long production cycles, and weather-driven risks.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
All eyes will be on today’s Cattle on Feed Report, which analysts say could give a clearer picture of where the market goes next.
More than 100 pork producers traveled to Washington to meet with lawmakers and underscore the threat to small family farms.
According to the National Council of Farmers Cooperatives (NCFC), President and CEO Chuck Conner says, there is only one other option besides addressing ag labor shortages.
For rural communities, this shift could mean new housing options for farmworkers and young families priced out of metro markets.
Sen. Roger Marshall, a founding member and chairman of the Make America Healthy Again caucus, joined us with his thoughts on the commission’s latest report and the key ag-related issues.
The Fertilizer Research Act, reintroduced by Sens. Grassley, Ernst, and Baldwin, would direct the USDA to study and publish public reports on competition and pricing trends in the fertilizer market.
Allowing year-round sales of E15 nationally could deliver billions in economic gains, according to a new study from the Renewable Fuels Association and National Corn Growers Association.
Farmers await concrete trade commitments from China. Until then, export prospects for soybeans, corn, and sorghum remain uncertain against strong South American competition.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The USDA NASS report also confirms lower August placements.
Producers and processors should watch trade policy closely as tariff impacts ripple through seafood markets.
While symbolic, the WTO’s youth hackathon reflects growing calls for creative approaches to food trade and security, with potential implications for reducing losses, expanding biofuel markets, and stabilizing grain flows.
Ethanol producers face a widening opportunity window as aviation and marine fuel markets expand, with the potential to add billions in demand if policy and certification align.
Corn and beef exports showed strong momentum, cotton sales surged, and soybean sales held steady, though China remains absent from the U.S. market.
Cheaper freight is helping exports move, especially corn, but weaker soybean demand looms large.
Agriculture Shows
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.
The goal of “Where the Food Comes From” is as simple as its name implies — host Chip Carter takes you along on the journey of where our food comes from — and we don’t just mean to the supermarket (though that’s part of the big picture!). But beyond where it comes from, how it gets there, and all the links in the chain that make that happen.
Join markets specialist Scott Shellady, better known as the Cow Guy, as he covers the market-close, breaking down headlines that drive the commodities and equities markets with commentary from respected industry heavyweights.