AFBF: Artificial Christmas Tree Imports Undercut U.S. Farms with Shrinking Production Capacity

Buying a real Christmas tree directly supports U.S. farmers facing rising import competition, long production cycles, and weather-driven risks.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Real Christmas tree growers face rising competitive and structural pressures as imported artificial trees expand sharply in U.S. markets. With most American families unaware of the decade-long timeline required to grow a marketable tree, the industry is increasingly challenged by weather volatility, labor shortages, and long-term acreage decline.

Production capacity has contracted significantly, says the American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF). Between 2002 and 2022, farms harvesting Christmas trees fell nearly 30 percent, and acreage dropped more than 150,000 acres, a 35 percent reduction shaped by complex economics and slow biological timelines. Retail-ready trees typically require seven to 10 years to grow, exposing farmers to years of insect pressure, disease risk, and extreme weather.

ChristmasTree_AFBF_3.png

U.S. Imports of Artificial Christmas Trees (2025)

American Farm Bureau Federation

According to the American Farm Bureau Federation, artificial trees — 85% to 95% imported from China — have become the dominant competitor, replacing years of real-tree demand with a single purchase. Imports have surged from $170 million in 2000 to more than $500 million in 2024, exerting continuous price pressure on domestic growers.

ChristmasTree1_AFBF_Fix.png

Cut Christmas Tree Production by State (2025)

American Farm Bureau Federation

Regionally, Oregon and North Carolina lead production, while farms nationwide face rising labor costs, land constraints, and limited risk-management tools that offer little protection from multiyear losses.

Looking ahead, growers say consumer choices are increasingly tied to farm survival, as U.S.-grown real trees support domestic jobs, preserve open space, and sequester carbon throughout their decade-long growth.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Buying a real Christmas tree directly supports U.S. farmers facing rising import competition, long production cycles, and weather-driven risks.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Retail competition and improved supplies are helping offset food inflation, pushing Thanksgiving meal costs modestly lower despite higher prices for beef, eggs, and dairy.
While agriculture doesn’t predict every recession, the sector’s long history of turning down before the broader economy
The ACRE Act modestly reduces farmland borrowing costs now, with more savings possible once federal guidance clarifies which loans qualify.
ARC-CO delivers the bulk of 2024 support, offering key margin relief as producers manage tight operating conditions.
Higher menu prices and tax-free tips are reshaping restaurant economics, sharply lifting server take-home pay even as diners face higher out-the-door costs.
USDA’s steady yields and heavy global stocks keep grains range-bound unless demand firms or South American weather becomes a real threat.
The Tennessee Department of Agriculture is helping connect veterans with resources to pursue careers in farming and agriculture.
Manure from a hog farm is more than just waste; it is also becoming a key renewable resource for operations.
As economic pressures continue to squeeze agriculture, ag lenders are signaling a more cautious outlook for farm profitability heading into next year, particularly among grain producers facing lower commodity prices and higher operating costs.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Firm live cow prices and shifting dairy-side culling suggest cull cow values may stay stronger than usual this winter despite weaker cow beef cutout trends.
Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities shares an update on post-WASDE grain movement, with corn leading export momentum, soybeans steady, and wheat and sorghum continuing to move selectively.
New SDRP funding and expanded loss programs give producers additional tools to rebuild cash flow and stabilize operations after two years of severe weather losses.
The new WOTUS proposal narrows federal jurisdiction, restores key agricultural exclusions, and gives farmers clearer permitting rules after years of regulatory uncertainty.
Here is a regional snapshot of harvest pace, crop conditions, logistics, and livestock economics across U.S. agriculture for the week of Monday, November 17, 2025.
Ethanol markets remain mixed — weaker production and blend rates are being partially balanced by stronger exports as winter demand patterns take shape.
Agriculture Shows
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.
The goal of “Where the Food Comes From” is as simple as its name implies — host Chip Carter takes you along on the journey of where our food comes from — and we don’t just mean to the supermarket (though that’s part of the big picture!). But beyond where it comes from, how it gets there, and all the links in the chain that make that happen.
Join markets specialist Scott Shellady, better known as the Cow Guy, as he covers the market-close, breaking down headlines that drive the commodities and equities markets with commentary from respected industry heavyweights.