Ag at a ‘Breaking Point': Farm Survey Signals Growing Stress Across U.S. Agriculture

Margin pressure and competitiveness concerns are shaping cautious outlooks.

Cotton Plant. Cotton picker working in a large cotton field_Photo by MagioreStockStudio via Adobe Stock.jpg

Photo by MagioreStockStudio via Adobe Stock

LUBBOCK, TEXAS (RFD NEWS) — U.S. farmers are increasingly concerned about long-term profitability and global competitiveness, as rising input costs and weaker margins continue to pressure operations across the country.

A new survey from the Southern Cotton Ginners Association, conducted at the Mid-South Farm & Gin Show, found more than 52 percent of respondents expect to be worse off within two years, while only 9 percent anticipate improvement. Over 75 percent believe U.S. agriculture has lost competitiveness in the past five years, with many pointing to Brazil’s lower costs, fewer regulations, and larger production scale as key advantages.

The cost-price squeeze remains a central concern. More than 80 percent of respondents identified commodity prices as a major issue, while 60 percent cited input costs as a primary pressure on margins. That combination is raising concerns about financial viability, with some producers indicating difficulty securing operating loans for the coming season.

Beyond farm-level economics, structural concerns are also emerging. Respondents highlighted consolidation among input suppliers and broader rural economic decline, including land leaving production and a decline in local operators.

Discussions at the event focused on potential solutions, including policy changes and incentives to support domestic production, but uncertainty remains elevated across the sector.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Margin pressure and competitiveness concerns are shaping cautious outlooks.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
NCBA Chief Counsel Mary-Thomas Hart breaks down CAFO permits, EPA enforcement, and what cattle producers need to know as rules continue to evolve.
Rebuilding domestic textiles depends on automation and vertical integration, not tariffs or legacy manufacturing models.
RFD NEWS correspondent Frank McCaffrey spoke with U.S. Congressmen Henry Cuellar (D-TX) and John Rose (R-TN), who say bipartisan cooperation will be key to getting the Farm Bill to the president’s desk.
The EPA has approved over-the-top dicamba applications for the 2026 and 2027 growing seasons, outlining new rules that impact herbicide use for U.S. crop producers.
Strong supplies and rising stocks point to continued price pressure unless demand accelerates.
Seasonal price patterns can inform soybean marketing timing, particularly when harvest prices appear unusually strong or weak.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Fair market value shapes taxes, transitions, lending, and sales, making accurate valuation essential for long-term planning.
SDRP Stage 2 now helps producers recover shallow, uninsured losses from major 2023–2024 disasters, with streamlined sign-ups open through April 30.
Tyson’s capacity cuts weaken local basis, tighten kill space, and heighten dependence on imports, signaling more volatility for producers.
Low farmer shares reflect deep consolidation across the food chain, keeping producer returns thin even as retail food prices remain high.
Strong yields and higher cattle prices helped stabilize conditions, but weak crop prices and rising carryover debt remain major challenges for Eleventh District farmers.
Corn exports remain strong, while soybeans and wheat shift week to week on river conditions and global demand.