WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD-TV) — Farm Credit Administration board members reviewed a quarterly update (PDF Version) indicating that U.S. agriculture is entering 2026 with mixed economic signals: low crop margins persist, while livestock profitability remains strong. The briefing also found the Farm Credit System financially sound, though credit stress is slowly increasing in select sectors.
The broader economy ended 2025 relatively stable, with GDP growth just above 2 percent and unemployment rising to 4.4 percent. Inflation eased but remains above the Federal Reserve’s target, even after three modest rate cuts. Elevated input costs, especially in services and manufacturing, continue to pressure margins.
In agriculture, bumper crops and weak commodity prices are squeezing grain and soybean producers, compounded by fertilizer costs and storage challenges. Livestock producers, by contrast, are benefiting from strong prices and favorable feed costs. The newly announced $12 billion in federal tariff-related assistance is expected to provide short-term relief, though most farm-bill payments will not arrive until late 2026.
The Farm Credit System reported $6.0 billion in year-to-date earnings through September, with capital rising to $84.3 billion. While loan quality remains solid overall, nonperforming assets edged higher, reflecting early stress among some borrowers.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong Farm Credit finances help cushion producers, but prolonged low crop margins could strain renewals in 2026.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Livestock and government payments provide a boost, but crop receipts and rising expenses keep pressure on margins. Strong financial planning remains key in a volatile environment.
September 30, 2025 10:45 AM
·
The total value of the U.S. potato crop was $4.60 billion in 2024, representing an 8% decrease from the previous year.
September 29, 2025 06:00 PM
·
Crop-specific shifts and strong prices highlight the variability of this year’s fruit and tree nut harvest, according to USDA data.
September 29, 2025 05:11 PM
·
The decline in production marks the second consecutive year of contraction in the U.S. turkey industry.
September 29, 2025 05:05 PM
·
The USDA noted that peanut edible utilization season-to-date is down 3% on the year, despite overall stocks increasing.
September 29, 2025 04:55 PM
·
RFD-TV Farm Legal and Taxation expert, Roger McEowen, with the Washburn School of Law, joined us Monday to break down the changes and explain what producers should know.
September 29, 2025 01:57 PM
·
North Dakota Farmers Union (NDFU) President Mark Watne joined us Monday to share his perspective on the America First Trade Promotion Program and potential implications for producers.
September 29, 2025 01:38 PM
·
A booming butterfat market is good for some dairy products but threatens efficiency and margins for cheesemakers unless protein levels catch up
September 29, 2025 12:53 PM
·
Duane Simpson, CEO of the National Council of Farmer Cooperatives (NCFC), joined us in Monday’s Market Day Report to share his perspective on the USDA’s plan and potential impact on producers.
September 29, 2025 12:17 PM
·
