LUBBOCK, Texas (RFD NEWS) — Global beef trade policy changes are reshaping where product moves in 2026, increasing competitive pressure on U.S. beef exports while supporting higher import volumes. New quota structures in the United States, China, and Mexico are redirecting global supplies and altering price signals across key markets.
Beginning January 1, the U.S. tariff-rate quota for countries without a free trade agreement was reduced to 52,005 metric tons, while a new 13,000-metric-ton quota was established for the United Kingdom. The reduced “Other” quota filled rapidly — reaching 91 percent by January 5 — triggering a 26.4 percent out-of-quota tariff that encourages earlier shipments and higher imports early in the year.
China’s new beef safeguard quotas, paired with a 55 percent over-quota tariff, are expected to limit shipments from Brazil, Australia, and Argentina. With most U.S. beef facilities still lacking export registration, displaced product is likely shifting into Japan, South Korea, and the United States, increasing competition for U.S. exporters.
Mexico’s new 70,000-metric-ton quota for non-FTA beef may curb Brazilian shipments, offering some support to U.S. exports there, but also pushing additional global supply toward the U.S. market.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Rising import pressure and tougher export competition are likely to persist into 2026, supporting domestic supplies while capping export growth.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
U.S. dairy producers remain the primary growth engine globally, while tightening supplies in Europe and New Zealand could support export demand for American dairy products.
December 26, 2025 12:00 PM
·
Record pace corn exports are helping stabilize prices despite softer global grain production and ongoing supply competition.
December 25, 2025 06:00 AM
·
Broader export demand helps stabilize prices and supports stronger marketing opportunities over time.
December 24, 2025 03:00 PM
·
Rising production underscores the importance of marketing discipline and margin protection as milk supplies expand.
December 23, 2025 04:09 PM
·
Rep. Randy Feenstra, R-IA, details how the “One, Big, Beautiful Bill” Act (OBBBA) supports farmers, biofuels, and rural communities with tax breaks, crop insurance relief, and ag infrastructure.
December 23, 2025 02:01 PM
·
Jake Charleston of Specialty Risk Insurance shares risk-reduction strategies to help cattle producers prepare for a successful year ahead.
December 23, 2025 01:45 PM
·
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney explains why the 2026 USMCA review could directly affect dairy access, produce competition, and export reliability for U.S. farmers and ranchers.
December 23, 2025 01:04 PM
·
The report shows that, despite production challenges, dairy farmers are producing more milk with fewer resources per gallon across the industry.
December 23, 2025 12:45 PM
·
Smaller U.S. production and steady global demand could provide better pricing opportunities in 2026.
December 23, 2025 12:12 PM
·
