Milk Growth Tests Dairy Prices as Consumers Tighten

Higher milk supplies are being met with strong export demand, though rising costs continue to pressure producers.

Small individual portion packaged brand with Wholesome Farms reduced fat milk and Dairy Pure Whole Milk_Photo by Kristina Blokhin via Adobe Stock.jpg

Photo by Kristina Blokhin via Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, TN (RFD News) — Dairy farmers are producing more milk in a market that still has demand, but less room for mistakes, as consumers watch every dollar.

The June dairy market outlook says U.S. milk production grew 2.9 percent on a component basis in April. Producers added cows to capture beef-on-dairy returns, while milk per cow also improved.

That extra milk is feeding ample cheese and butter production, limiting price upside. Strong domestic sales and export growth have helped balance the market, but lower consumer confidence and weaker restaurant traffic remain concerns.

Protein markets remain firmer, with whey protein concentrate and nonfat dry milk still at historically strong levels. However, nonfat dry milk prices have begun to ease as production increases and export sales soften.

The Dairy Margin Coverage margin improved to $10.54 per hundredweight in April, but higher electricity, diesel, and inflation costs continue to pressure real farm margins.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Dairy producers should watch milk growth, export demand, input costs, and food-service traffic before making herd or marketing decisions.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

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