National Cotton Council Forecasts Acreage Downshift into 2026

Cotton acres slipping as competing crops gain ground.

cotton bud with the sunset_Photo by Kelli via AdobeStock_386673555.jpg

A cotton bud framed by a sunset.

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD-TV) — U.S. cotton growers plan to reduce spring plantings as competing crop prices and regional economics reshape acreage decisions.

The National Cotton Council’s annual survey shows producers intend to plant 9.0 million acres in 2026, down 3.2 percent from last year. Upland cotton accounts for 8.8 million acres, while extra-long staple cotton rises 14 percent to 161,000 acres. Based on normal abandonment and yields, the crop is projected at approximately 12.7 million bales.

Economists with the National Cotton Council say relative crop prices drove the shift. Cotton prices were roughly unchanged from last year’s survey period, but soybeans strengthened slightly while corn softened, encouraging rotations away from cotton in several regions.

Southeast growers expect cotton acreage to fall 4.9 percent, while Mid-South plantings are projected at 1.2 million acres — down 20.6 percent from last year. In contrast, Southwest acreage is expected to rise 1.6 percent, led by a 0.4 percent increase in Texas. Western upland cotton acreage is projected to decline 7.2 percent.

ELS cotton acreage, however, is forecast to increase with Arizona up 3.2 percent, California up 8.0 percent, and Texas expanding ELS plantings by 69.8 percent.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Cotton acres slipping as competing crops gain ground.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
With input prices staying high, Lewis Williamson of HTS Commodities says farmers should carefully compare delivery locations and basis opportunities when marketing the remaining crop.
President Donald Trump says Russia will supply millions of tons of diesel fuel to global markets in a deal he expects to lower prices for farmers, ranchers, and truckers.
Annabel Farms is using agritourism to help preserve farmland in Middle Tennessee.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Drought Shifts Across Regions As Fall Fieldwork Continues
The unanimous verdict marks a legal victory for Bayer as thousands of Roundup lawsuits remain unresolved.
A new federal order expands livestock grazing to help reduce wildfire risk and improve rangeland health.
Months of restricted shipping have left traders watching closely for signs that Russian commodity exports are resuming.
Additional border crossings could bring more Mexican feeder cattle into the U.S. market following trade restrictions.
The funding could expand domestic fuel supplies, though lower diesel prices are not guaranteed.
EPA estimates the proposed changes could save $45 billion in regulatory compliance costs.
Even a wet winter may not be enough to restore water supplies across drought-stricken western states.
Some smaller feedlots are already empty as operators struggle with limited cattle availability.
Higher fertilizer and financing costs are putting pressure on Brazilian producers.
Federal payments are keeping farm income elevated despite weaker earnings from agricultural markets.
The department has not released new details on how individual agencies or offices will be affected.