Ongoing drought could spell lower future cattle supplies

According to the latest Cattle on Feed report, drought brought placement numbers lower.

Drought conditions across the U.S. continue to have an impact on the cattle markets, according to recently published data.

Farm Bureau economists say the most recent Cattle on Feed report was bullish with total cattle on feed down a percent from last year. Bert Nelson points out that states impacted by drought had lower placement numbers, and that could mean lower cattle supplies in the future.

“This is likely due to some tighter calf supplies along with higher feed and input costs amplified by the drought conditions. We’ve seen marketings for fed cattle totaling 1.86 million head for September, this is four percent above this time in 2021. Now, when we really see marketing high and placements become lower over a longer drawn-out period of time, this really signals that lower cattle supplies are in the future,” said Nelson.

USDA numbers show beef slaughter is up, which Nelson says shows that packers need to get cattle in to meet current demand. He says when supplies tighten up and demand remains consistent, we should see prices follow suit.

Related Stories
Higher cow numbers and slightly stronger output per cow pushed milk production above last year.
Food inflation is still building in 2026, with beef leading pressure while eggs and dairy offer some relief.
Rotational grazing can improve pasture use and soil health while helping control feed and drought-related risk.
March cold storage data showed generally tighter year-over-year stock levels across several key meat and dairy categories.
K-State researchers advise producers to take action, highlighting that prevention is essential for controlling tick populations as cases spread West.
Florida’s import rule shows New World screwworm concerns are already affecting livestock movement and market conditions.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

You may have seen Noah Peters on TikTok where he sings to his clients while cutting their hair. He joined us here on the Market Day Report!
Explore the culinary wonders of Camino’s Apple Hill, where tradition meets delicious innovation at community institutions like Larsen Apple Barn.
Seven out of the eight major fertilizers saw recent price decreases. However, one key type of fertilizer bucked the overall trend with an 11-percent rise.
The USDA’s latest crop forecast for corn and soybean production will impact U.S. producers as well as make an impact on global trade.