Rail Strength Partially Offsets Seasonal Grain Transportation Slowdown

Rail strength is helping stabilize grain movement, but river and export slowdowns continue to limit overall logistics momentum.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Grain transportation ended December with mixed signals as strong rail performance partially countered sharply weaker river and ocean movement. The latest Grain Transportation Report from the U>S. The Department of Agriculture (USDA) reports capacity remains available, but usage continues to shift by mode as winter conditions and export timing influence flows.

U.S. Class I railroads originated 28,750 grain carloads during the week ending December 20, up 1 percent from the prior week and 8 percent higher than a year ago. Rail volumes were also 10 percent above the three-year average, reflecting continued demand for rail service even as overall grain movement softens late in the year. Shuttle rail car premiums declined to $863 per car above tariff, down $202 from the previous week, while non-shuttle premiums eased to $38 above tariff, signaling modest short-term capacity relief.

Barge movement weakened further. Grain shipments totaled 404,341 tons, down 20 percent from the prior week and 57 percent below the same period last year. Fewer barges moved downriver, and unloadings in the New Orleans region dropped sharply, reflecting reduced export demand and winter river constraints.

Ocean shipping also slowed, with fewer vessels loaded and scheduled compared with last year. Diesel prices fell to $3.50 per gallon, offering limited but welcome cost relief.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Rail strength is helping stabilize grain movement, but river and export slowdowns continue to limit overall logistics momentum.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Strong balance sheets still matter, but liquidity, planning, and lender relationships are critical as ag credit tightens, according to analysis from AgAmerica Lending.
Protein-driven dairy growth is boosting beef supply potential, creating an opening to support rural jobs and ground beef availability.
New Resource Makes It Easier for People to Access Data on Rural Development funded Projects in Rural Communities
U.S. agriculture entered the week with mixed signals as weather, logistics, and markets shaped early-year decisions. Here is a regional breakdown of domestic crop and livestock production for the week of Monday, Jan. 19, 2026.
While short-term volatility remains a risk, softer ocean freight rates in 2026 could improve export margins.
Trade volatility and shifting export destinations increase marketing risk for producers heading into 2026.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Tight beef cow supplies and steady demand point to continued record-level cull cow prices in 2026.
A disciplined, breakeven-based marketing plan helps protect margins and reduce risk, even when markets remain unpredictable.
Expanded school access to whole milk provides modest but reliable demand support for U.S. dairy producers.
The American Farm Bureau Federation’s 2026 agenda centers on labor stability, biosecurity, and economic resilience for family farms. Expanded DMC coverage improves risk protection for dairy operations facing tighter margins.
Agronomy experts explain why standing crop residue protects soil and reduces costs for crop growers, while shredding often yields little benefit at higher costs.
Freight volatility increasingly determines export margins, making logistics costs as important as price in marketing decisions.