September WASDE Report: USDA Corn Yield Estimates in Focus as Harvest Begins

Corn growers await USDA’s September WASDE report as harvest begins, with analysts watching corn yield estimates and shifts in global trade.

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Corn and soybean growers are waiting for the latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

USDA will release its September WASDE report at noon Eastern, providing updated estimates for production, demand, exports and stocks for corn and soybeans.

Corn is getting the most attention, with analysts watching to see if USDA lowers its yield estimates after signs of weaker crops in parts of the Corn Belt.

The report comes as harvest gets underway and crop conditions continue to slip.

Arlan Suderman will join Market Day Report to break down how the markets are reacting to the report in real time.

The report also comes as analysts watch changes in the global corn market, including Brazil’s role as a major supplier.

Brian Irey with Crossroads Coop says China has invested heavily in Brazilian ethanol.

“China has invested a tremendous amount in Brazilian ethanol. Just from the perspective that if they make ethanol in China, they have to ship three vessels of corn to produce the equivalent of one vessel of ethanol. It’s much simpler for them to build the ethanol infrastructure in Brazil and only pay freight on one boat of ethanol freight to get it to China. And that’s their plan.”China has also been building crush capacity in Brazil for several years.

Irey says those moves could ultimately benefit American growers.

“I think that with Brazil out of the picture and Ukraine’s ability to export corn here for the foreseeable future somewhat limited, it’s going to be really, really, really good for the U.S. producer as time goes on here.”Irey says it could take several years for all of that infrastructure to get up and running.

He also says six-dollar corn could be a reality for U.S. producers in the near future.

Irey joined Market Day Report to discuss the changing global corn market and what it could mean for U.S. growers.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

August data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor & Statistics show continued inflationary pressure, with energy and transportation costs playing a significant role in both consumer and producer prices.
AFBF’s Brian Glenn discusses the Senate Farm Bill and the Farm Bureau’s push to finalize legislation before the end of the year.
Superior Livestock’s Bailey Ballou discusses cattle market volatility, the Fall Calf Run, and marketing opportunities for producers.
Farmers have until September 15 to make certain entity changes for 2026 ARC and PLC payment limits. Farm CPA Paul Neiffer explains what producers should know.
Dustin and Justyne Noble join SharkFarmer on tonight’s new episode to share how their family dairy has grown and why educating the public remains central to their operation.
Dr. Jeffrey Gold encourages farmers to prepare for unexpected risks and emergencies this week on Rural Health Matters.