NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV)—China’s top trade negotiator met with leaders from the U.S. Midwest this week, fueling speculation that farm exports could be a key component of a trade deal. But with no soybean purchases on the books yet from this year’s harvest, the markets remain on edge as talks continue.
Trade analysts anticipate President Trump will want China to commit to buying more American agricultural goods, among other items. However, the international trade heavyweight is turning to South American suppliers to replace key commodity exports from the U.S., in its ongoing fight against President Donald Trump’s controversial trade plan, which emphasizes retaliatory tariffs.
Now, U.S. crop farmers are scrambling to find new buyers while facing record harvests and low prices, and await billions in aid promised by the USDA as they try to weather skyrocketing input costs like fertilizer, ongoing labor issues, and worry over rising demand for grain storage and diesel fuel as fall harvest kicks off.
Argentina: Growing Consistency in Commodity Crops
China is turning to Argentina for soybeans, booking at least 10 cargoes after Buenos Aires scrapped grain export taxes. The move boosts Argentina’s competitiveness and deals another blow to U.S. farmers, who are already struggling with low prices and are shut out of their top market.
Corn planting is moving quickly in Argentina as farmers rush to beat incoming storms. The Buenos Aires Grains Exchange says just over six percent of the country’s projected 19 million acres of corn have already been planted. That’s part of what’s expected to be the second-largest corn crop in Argentina’s history, with just over 19 million acres planted.
Meanwhile, wheat fields are holding steady. Despite some disease caused by excess moisture, more than 97 percent of the crop remains in normal to excellent condition. Wheat harvest will begin in November.
Brazil: Poultry Sector Progress and Removing Soybean Moratorium
Meanwhile, China has begun auditing Brazil’s sanitary controls in the poultry sector, seen as a key step toward lifting its own ban on Brazilian poultry imports. This comes as the European Union reopened its market to Brazilian chicken, lifting a ban imposed after a bird flu outbreak in Brazil.
A Brazilian judge has upheld a moratorium on soybeans grown on recently deforested land in the Amazon. The ruling rejects an appeal from a major farm group seeking to overturn the injunction.
The two-decade-old pact, backed by several global traders, prohibits companies from purchasing soy linked to deforestation after 2008. Farmers argue the deal is unfair and limits their access to markets. Brazil’s environment ministry and prosecutors are defending the measure as crucial for protecting the rainforest.
Shaun Haney joined RFD News to discuss the potential impact of the Trump-Xi summit uncertainty, ongoing agricultural trade talks, and why geopolitical developments could carry important implications for farmers and global commodity markets.
