Storage Stocks Shift Across Meat and Dairy Categories

Meat stocks rose seasonally but remain below last year overall, while tighter butter inventories could support dairy prices, and belly stocks warrant close watch for pork markets.

cheese cold storage_Photo by Vasyl Diachuk via AdobeStock_302955024.jpg

Cheese factory production shelves are filled with aging cheese in storage.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — The latest Cold Storage Report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) showed mixed inventory signals to close 2025, with red meat supplies building month to month while remaining lower than a year ago, and dairy stocks moving in opposite directions as butter tightened further. The report suggests near-term supply pressure in some meat categories, while reduced butter stocks may offer support to dairy pricing.

Total red meat supplies in freezers on December 31 were up 4 percent from the prior month but down 3 percent from a year earlier. Beef stocks increased 3 percent month to month but were still 4 percent below last year. Pork inventories rose 5 percent from November yet remained 2 percent below a year ago, indicating seasonal stocking without a broad year-over-year build.

Within pork, belly stocks stood out. USDA reported pork bellies up 74 percent from the previous month and 8 percent higher than a year earlier, a sharp late-year increase that could influence pricing dynamics for bacon-related demand into early 2026.

Dairy inventories were split. Natural cheese stocks were up 1 percent from November and up 1 percent from a year earlier, suggesting a steady supply. Butter stocks, however, fell 5 percent from the prior month and were down 7 percent year over year, tightening available supplies.

Frozen poultry supplies edged higher from November but remained lower than last year, with chicken stocks up year over year while turkey inventories stayed sharply reduced compared with December 2024. Frozen vegetables continued to tighten, down both month-to-month and year-over-year.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Meat stocks rose seasonally but remain below last year overall, while tighter butter inventories could support dairy prices, and belly stocks bear watching for pork markets.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
NCBA President Colin Woodall states that misinformation like this is damaging to cattle producers, the beef supply chain, and consumer confidence
Producer input costs are rising faster than expected — and this latest PPI report does not reflect the last two weeks of geopolitical tension.
Acreage shifts could influence spring marketing decisions.
Corn and sorghum exports continue outperforming soybeans.
Expanding supplies are weighing on global coffee and cocoa prices.
NMPF’s Alan Bjerga discusses pending trade agreements with Indonesia and Ecuador and how they will benefit U.S. dairy producers and improve overall global competitiveness of U.S. ag products.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Mike Steenhoek with the Soy Transportation Coalition discusses supply chain disruptions, rising costs, and the potential impact on agriculture as farmers navigate ongoing global uncertainty.
Strong exports support ethanol margins and corn demand.
Export competition remains heavy despite solid trade.
Spring Fieldwork Expands Amid Mixed Weather Nationwide
Watch China’s demand signals for export direction.
Shaun Haney joined RFD News to discuss the potential impact of the Trump-Xi summit uncertainty, ongoing agricultural trade talks, and why geopolitical developments could carry important implications for farmers and global commodity markets.
Lower production is tightening honey supplies across markets.