Tighter Ag Credit Demands Strategic Financial Planning

Strong balance sheets still matter, but liquidity, planning, and lender relationships are critical as ag credit tightens, according to analysis from AgAmerica Lending.

A farmer with a computer stands in a field of grain.

ibragimova - stock.adobe.com

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. agriculture is entering 2026 with a noticeably tighter credit environment, requiring producers to be more deliberate with business planning when it comes to operating loans, refinancing, and land purchases. AgAmerica Lending says higher interest rates, compressed margins, and uneven income performance are converging just as many operations rely more heavily on financing to maintain cash flow.

Despite those pressures, balance sheets across agriculture remain relatively strong, supported by resilient farmland values. That equity has helped cushion recent volatility, but lenders are becoming more selective. According to AgAmerica, lenders are placing greater emphasis on liquidity, repayment capacity, and documentation, signaling a shift from readily available credit to more disciplined underwriting.

Crop producers face the most strain. Lower grain and fiber prices, paired with elevated input and labor costs, have tightened working capital and increased dependence on operating credit. A Farmer Mac survey cited by AgAmerica shows nearly 70 percent of ag lenders now view grain and cotton operations as their top risk concern, up sharply from two years ago.

Delinquencies remain contained, but scrutiny is increasing. Operating loan renewals, refinancings, and land purchases now require clearer cash flow plans and stronger borrower readiness.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong balance sheets still matter, but liquidity, planning, and lender relationships are critical as ag credit tightens.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Smaller slaughter numbers across beef and pork signal tighter supplies into late 2025, while record-low veal production highlights ongoing structural changes in the sector.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer joined us on Friday’s Market Day Report to break down what this extension means for affected ranchers.
Potash has seen the most significant decline, falling 11 percent over the same five-year period.
China’s buying decisions continue to be a critical factor in shaping cotton prices and export opportunities worldwide.
Lower inventories and cautious farrowing plans suggest tighter hog supplies into 2026, keeping producer margins sensitive to demand trends and health risks.
Secretary Rollins’ plan targets high costs, labor challenges, and export growth, delivering relief at home while building markets abroad.
Transportation challenges are mounting as droughts lower Mississippi River levels and push freight rates higher.
Waiting could risk leaving next year’s crop unprotected.
Michigan corn farmer and NCGA Vice President-Elect Matt Frostic will lead the task force. He joined us on Thursday to share his insights on the escalating corn crisis.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

ock NH3 early, track China’s Oct. 15 call and any U.S. Russia-UAN action, stay nimble on urea, and budget cautiously for high-priced phosphate.
Expect business-as-usual for most container exports.
Searches for “struggle meal” hit a record high in September, and #strugglemeals posts are climbing on Instagram and TikTok, reflecting a wave of budget-cooking content.
Considering raising your own replacements instead of buying bred heifers? Three key factors to consider before investing capital.
Reliable, clearly graded middle meats still anchor demand; programs that deliver consistent eating quality and simple, confidence-building menus capture more repeat visits—and more value—back through the beef chain.
Prepare for tighter cash flow, delayed capital buys, and policy-driven risk management this fall.