Vietnam Demand Supports South Africa Corn Export Outlook

Vietnam has become South Africa’s largest corn buyer, accounting for nearly half of exports this season.

Corn-Combine-Auger-AdobeStock-422368315_1920x1080.jpg

Dusan Kostic, Adobe Stock

PRETORIA, South Africa (RFD-TV) — South Africa is expected to remain an important corn exporter despite a smaller 2026/27 crop, supported by record carryover supplies and strong demand from regional and overseas buyers.

USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service forecasts exports at about 98 million bushels next season, down nearly 17 percent as production declines. Record beginning stocks are expected to help offset the smaller harvest and keep South Africa from becoming a corn importer.

Vietnam has emerged as the country’s largest corn buyer this season. Through the first 24 weeks of 2025/26, Vietnam accounted for nearly 46 percent of South African exports, purchasing about 22 million bushels.

Regional demand also remains important. Zimbabwe, Botswana, Namibia, Eswatini and Lesotho rely heavily on South African corn, and possible El Niño conditions across southern Africa could increase that dependence.

USDA expects South Africa’s ending stocks to fall by half next season to about 83 million bushels, bringing inventories closer to the long-term average while still covering roughly two months of commercial use.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Smaller South African production could reduce exports, but strong regional demand and growing Asian business should keep the country active in global corn trade.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Rising calf values and increased beef production are making beef-on-dairy cattle more important to the industry.
The tool will work alongside USDA analysts and statisticians to identify potential reporting errors.
USDA forecasts lower sorghum production as yields and harvested acreage decline across the Plains.
Grazing access, meat processing and labeling issues will top the organization’s agenda when lawmakers return in January.
The increase in dollars borrowed comes as producers continue to face elevated costs for fertilizer, fuel, machinery, labor, and other operating expenses.
Tyson’s Amarillo expansion could create additional competition for fed cattle, but the price impact will depend on how quickly slaughter volumes and cattle procurement increase.
Higher commodity prices are linked to stronger wages and lower unemployment in rural areas.
Lenders report tighter profits and growing financial pressure on farmers.
Planned facilities will focus on food safety and product development.
Farm Bureau analysis shows harvest prices finished above spring crop insurance prices for all four crops for only the second time since 2011.
USDA’s Grain Transportation Report says the average Class I railroad fuel surcharge climbed to 76 cents per mile in November, up 231 percent from April.
Texas A&M AgriLife Extension grain marketing economist Mark Welch says several major demand categories continue to provide support.