Weekly State Crop, Livestock & Agribusiness Update — Monday, December 22, 2025

Markets Specialist Tony St. James outlines the state of agribusiness this week with a state-by-state look at crop and livestock production conditions across the U.S.

Crop Progress Graphic

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — This week, producers across the country balanced winter weather disruptions, shifting export demand, and tightening margins as year-end decisions come into focus. Ice, flooding, and low water reshaped grain movement, while livestock and dairy markets sent mixed signals heading into the final weeks of 2025.

Great Plains

  • Texas — Cotton harvest winds down across the High Plains; gins are managing throughput amid cold snaps. Wheat stands mixed under dry La Niña patterns; feeder demand firm as hay and diesel remain watch points.
  • Oklahoma — Wheat pasture limited by moisture; fall calves moving steadily. Input pricing and freight costs guide winter planning.
  • Kansas — Wheat seeded; emergence uneven where moisture was missed. Interior corn basis supported by export pace; feedyards are active.
  • Nebraska — Corn and soybean movement steady; ethanol demand supportive. Propane and rail availability monitored amid cold.
  • North & South Dakota — Harvest complete; basis stronger away from the river. Calf runs seasonally strong with feed availability shaping bids.

Midwest

  • Iowa — River ice slows barge options; rail picks up slack. Ethanol production at record levels supports corn demand despite tight margins.
  • Illinois — Illinois River ice requires couplings; interior basis firmer than the Gulf. Fertilizer pricing is sticky.
  • Minnesota & Wisconsin — Corn movement steady; dairy margins tightening as milk prices slide. Feed costs are rising.
  • Michigan — Processing demand supports grain; fuel costs ease slightly.

Delta & South

  • Arkansas — Soybeans and rice largely wrapped up; barge flow uneven but functional.
  • Louisiana — Export loadings are active despite fewer vessels; freight costs remain elevated.
  • Mississippi — Grain movement steady; logistics monitored amid river levels.
  • Georgia & Alabama — Cotton harvest finishing; peanuts mostly complete. Input inflation persists.
  • Florida — Trucking costs remain a concern for specialty crops and feed.

West & Southwest

  • Arizona & New Mexico — Forage and water planning dominate winter outlooks.
  • Colorado & Utah — Wheat stands variable; diesel and fertilizer costs pressure budgets.
  • California — Specialty crop growers face labor and trade headwinds; logistics costs remain top concern.
  • Nevada — Hay movement slows seasonally; water planning extends into 2026.

Northwest & Northern Rockies

  • Washington & Oregon — Flooding briefly disrupted rail access to export terminals; service restored. Grain inspections remain above average.
  • Idaho — Rail movement steady; feedlots managing corn costs.
  • Montana — Hay supplies adequate; wheat acres monitored under dry conditions.
  • Wyoming — Winter logistics and feed access in focus.

Northeast

  • New York & Pennsylvania — Dairy producers reassessing risk management as milk prices fall. Feed and energy costs guide winter budgets.
  • Maryland & Delaware — Soybean movement steady; freight costs remain elevated.
  • New EnglandSpecialty crop sales support cash flow; winter energy planning underway.

Upper Midwest & Great Lakes

  • Michigan — Sugar beets, dry beans, and soybeans share transport lanes; dairy margins are strained.
  • Wisconsin — Basis steady near feed mills; fuel relief modest.
  • Ohio — Corn and soy mostly complete; inland basis stronger than river.

Far North & Territories

  • Alaska — Feed and fuel shipments critical ahead of deep winter; freight costs elevated.
  • U.S. Territories — Logistics delays persist; small-scale ag continues under high transport premiums.
Related Stories
Sen. Roger Marshall explains which types of beef are imported into the United States, how there’s room for new imports, and logical reasons for current high prices.
Record Australian exports and rising U.S. imports reflect continued tight domestic cattle supplies — a reminder that herd recovery remains key to balancing future beef prices.
U.S. Senator Deb Fischer (R-NE) discusses the USDA’s new cattle plan, ethanol policy, and the broader challenges ahead for rural America.
Australia’s expanding harvest and global oversupply are keeping wheat and barley prices capped, though canola markets may hold firmer on shifting oilseed demand.
Expanding bioethanol use strengthens rural economies, supports farm markets, and positions U.S. agriculture at the center of global low-carbon trade.
“President Trump Undercuts America’s Cattle Producers,” says NCBA
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) is investing now to make markets less volatile for ranchers over the long term and more affordable for consumers, according to a press release.
Elizabeth Strom with the American Society of Farm Managers & Rural Appraisers (ASFMRA) joined us to share the latest on harvest progress and market activity in her area.
Brooks York with Agri-Sompo joined us to discuss this year’s harvest price calculations and what they could mean for producers nationwide.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Considering raising your own replacements instead of buying bred heifers? Three key factors to consider before investing capital.
Reliable, clearly graded middle meats still anchor demand; programs that deliver consistent eating quality and simple, confidence-building menus capture more repeat visits—and more value—back through the beef chain.
Prepare for tighter cash flow, delayed capital buys, and policy-driven risk management this fall.
Plan for a cooler global trade market in 2026 with tighter margins on exports, potential rate shifts, and premiums for reliable deliveries into Asian and African growth markets.
George Baird, with the American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers (ASFMRA), joins us with updates on how this year’s rice harvest is shaping up.
Crop insurance remains a vital tool for managing climate-driven risk.