China Beef Access Improves, But Export Headwinds Remain

Industry leaders say restored access is a major step forward, though exports remain well below previous levels.

Chinese Flag 1280x720.jpg

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD News) — U.S. beef exporters now have a clearer path back into China after hundreds of plant registrations were renewed, though industry analysts say shipments may take time to recover.

Josh Maples with Mississippi State says U.S. beef exports to China totaled just 5.3 million pounds during the first quarter, down 95 percent from a year ago.

The slowdown stemmed largely from facility registration issues after more than 400 U.S. beef plants lost export eligibility when required registrations expired and were not renewed.

That situation improved following the Trump-Xi summit.

According to the U.S. Meat Export Federation, China granted registration extensions to 425 overdue U.S. beef establishments while also approving 77 new facilities. Another 38 establishments remain suspended.

Despite the renewed access, Maples says tight U.S. beef supplies and elevated domestic prices continue limiting export competitiveness.

Hong Kong has absorbed some additional U.S. beef shipments, though combined exports to China and Hong Kong remain well below levels seen between 2021 and 2024.

Maples says China remains a critical export market, but renewed plant access will still need to translate into actual sales and shipments moving forward.

Farm-Level Takeaway: China’s registration renewals help restore access, but tight supplies and high prices may limit a fast export rebound.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Tyson expects another year of beef-segment losses due to tight cattle supplies, even as chicken, pork, and prepared foods strengthen overall margins.
Export strength is concentrated in corn and wheat, while soybeans and sorghum lag, keeping basis and logistics dynamics highly commodity-specific into late fall.
Pasture, Rangeland and Forage (PRF) interval selection—not just participation—drives protection levels as rainfall patterns become less predictable across the South.
If the House concurs and the President signs, USDA services and farm-bill programs resume at full speed with authorities extended for another year.
A smaller U.S. turkey flock and resurgent avian flu have tightened supplies, driving prices higher even as other key holiday foods show mixed trends.
ARC/PLC, marketing loans, and crop insurance each matter at different points in the price cycle — and the new Farm Bill strengthens the balance among them.