LUBBOCK, Texas (RFD NEWS) — Tight beef supplies and rural job losses are colliding with a major shift inside the U.S. dairy sector, creating new momentum for farmer-led solutions to expand domestic production of ground beef. Western United Dairies says its “Make America More Ground Beef” proposal reflects changing market realities — particularly excess milk and record dairy cow numbers driven by protein demand.
According to CoBank analysis by Corey Geiger, U.S. dairy farmers have responded aggressively to market incentives. Butterfat production has surged 5 percent to 6 percent year over year, pushing the national milkfat average near 4.3 percent and creating an oversupply. At the same time, massive investment in protein-focused dairy processing — including cheese, whey, ultra-filtered milk, and yogurt — is reshaping milk checks, with protein poised to be the dominant revenue driver for years to come.
That protein focus has kept dairy cow numbers at 30-year highs, now near 9.6 million head, and is supported by strong demand for beef-on-dairy calves. Geiger suggests we may begin to see dairy farmers cull cows, thereby providing an influx of lean ground beef.
Western United Dairies argues that the USDA can use existing authority to better align these trends, increasing domestic beef throughput without new legislation or imports while keeping packing plants open.
Currently, processors import lean beef trimmings to mix into ground beef to meet the domestic demand.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Protein-driven dairy growth is boosting beef supply potential, creating an opening to support rural jobs and ground beef availability.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Ethanol output softened, but underlying supply-and-demand trends indicate stable longer-term use despite short-term volatility in blending and exports.
December 12, 2025 11:47 AM
·
Strong Farm Credit finances help cushion producers, but prolonged low crop margins could strain renewals in 2026.
December 12, 2025 11:42 AM
·
USDA data confirms that U.S. agriculture remains overwhelmingly family-run despite structural shifts in scale and production, according to a new analystis by Farm Flavor.
December 11, 2025 06:00 PM
·
Stronger sorghum genetics could enhance the resilience of bioenergy crops and broaden production options for growers in harsher climates.
December 11, 2025 03:38 PM
·
American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) economist Danny Munch joined us on Thursday’s Market Day Report to break down the scope of the U.S. Christmas Tree industry and what growers are up against.
December 11, 2025 01:53 PM
·
Rising beef supplies and lower cattle prices, weaker hog markets, and softening dairy prices will shape producer margins heading into 2026.
December 11, 2025 01:32 PM
·
Outdated reporting thresholds reduce cash-market visibility and increase the urgency of comprehensive Mandatory Price Reporting reform.
December 10, 2025 07:00 PM
·
Rancher David Kroa of
One Man Ranch joins us to share the story of his remarkable Shorthorn cow, Trish, who is beating the odds.
December 10, 2025 12:11 PM
·
Rural employers are slightly more optimistic, but labor shortages and renewed price pressures continue to limit growth across farm country according to a
December 10, 2025 11:56 AM
·