Fertilizer Policy Focus Misses Key Input Cost Pressure

StoneX analyst Josh Linville says global supply risks and continued dependence on imported urea are keeping fertilizer markets on edge.

corn crop aerial_adobe stock.png

NASHVILLE, TN (RFD NEWS) — Farmers are still facing high fertilizer costs, and some analysts say recent federal attention may not fully address the biggest near-term pressure points.

Josh Linville with StoneX says fertilizer policy is now getting the attention it needs, but much of the focus is on ammonia, potash, and phosphate rather than urea.

Linville says some announced production gains were already planned, while new ammonia capacity may not be aimed mainly at U.S. farm demand. He says urea remains one of the largest U.S. import needs and is more exposed to Russia, the Middle East, and other global suppliers.

Nitrogen supplies made it through spring better than feared, but prices remain high. Linville says reopening the Strait of Hormuz could pressure urea prices in the short term if stalled vessels move, but tight supply may keep values elevated into spring 2027.

Phosphate remains under greater pressure because ammonia and sulfur are major cost drivers.

Potash is the calmer market, with supply adequate but freight costs adding support.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Fertilizer prices remain vulnerable to global supply disruptions, and urea may deserve more policy attention.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Regulatory changes may influence farm costs and operations.
Biofuel policy decisions may influence planting economics. Today, March 18, is also National Biodiesel Day.
APHIS Veterinary Medical Officer Dr. Chelsey Shiveley discusses USDA’s biosecurity resources available to poultry producers ahead of spring migration, increasing the risk of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) threatens commercial flocks.
President Trump issues a 60-day Jones Act waiver to ease fuel shipments amid Middle East tensions disrupting energy markets, while biofuel policy gains focus.
NMPF’s Alan Bjerga discusses pending trade agreements with Indonesia and Ecuador and how they will benefit U.S. dairy producers and improve overall global competitiveness of U.S. ag products.
Farm Legal expert Roger McEowen discusses new dicamba regulations, compliance requirements for growers, and the evolving outlook for herbicide use.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Ethanol production climbed to a four-week high while inventories fell to their lowest level since early October, according to energy data analyzed by the RFA.
Potato growers now have a fresh benchmark for comparing fertilizer, pesticide, and pest-management practices across major production states.
Alan Bjerga with the National Milk Producers Federation shares how teens are helping fuel stronger demand for traditional U.S. dairy products.
The latest Meat Demand Monitor shows strong retail demand for beef products like ribeye steaks and ground beef.
Corey Rosenbusch, President & CEO of The Fertilizer Institute, discusses fertilizer markets transparency efforts and the steps to ensure long-term stability for farmers and the ag economy.
Analysts say poor crop conditions seen on the annual Hard Red Winter Wheat Tour, combined with cheaper overseas grain supplies, are weighing on the industry as the annual tour wraps up.