U.S. Meat Exports See Record Demand Despite Lingering Trade Tension With China

U.S. trade talks with China resume, but meat industry leaders say dealing with shifting demand and market uncertainty is nothing new in this side of the ag sector.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Officials are back in Madrid for another round of trade talks. Tariffs are paused through November, but tensions remain. China has yet to book new U.S. soybeans, and demand for other crops is soft.

The U.S. Meat Export Federation notes that these challenges are nothing new, citing record global demand for U.S. beef and pork. Industry leaders remain confident that, despite tariffs, a stable market can still be achieved. Analysts also say all eyes should be on Brazil, where tariffs could affect the U.S. beef supply and market balance.

Rising productivity is reshaping beef and pork markets, allowing steady output with fewer breeding animals. Lamb production, however, illustrates how consumer demand and breed shifts can reduce per-animal output, creating different pressures within the industry.

Productivity Trends Shape Beef, Pork, and Lamb Output

Livestock economist Dr. David Anderson of Texas A&M University says rising productivity explains how U.S. beef production remains strong despite the smallest cow herd since 1961.

Beef production per cow has climbed from 629 pounds in 2000 to 724 pounds in 2024, largely driven by heavier dressed weights rather than calving rate improvements. Per beef cow only, output soared from 166 pounds in 2000 to 966 pounds in 2024.

In pork, productivity has surged even faster, with production per sow up 52 percent since 2000. Gains came from more pigs per litter, more litters per year, and heavier hog weights. Average pigs per litter rose from 8.8 in 2000 to nearly 11.8 in 2024, while dressed weights climbed to 212 pounds. Disease events like PEDv have slowed progress, but the long-term trend remains higher.

Lamb production tells a different story, with output per ewe falling from 57 pounds in 2000 to 48 pounds in 2024. The shift reflects consumer demand for smaller carcasses and the rise of hair sheep breeds.

Related Stories
“It’s been a very interesting year!”
Try this steakhouse favorite in a sandwich. Strips of steak served on a roll with crunchy romaine lettuce, parmesan cheese, and Caesar dressing.
This quick and easy recipe puts a Southern twist on a Chinese staple with leftover Pot Roast and tinned buttermilk biscuits. Steaming these Southern-Style Beef Bao Buns on the stovetop only takes five ingredients and 30 minutes!

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Farmers for Free Trade Executive Director Brian Kuehl shares more about the tour to gather farmers’ insights on the economic challenges they face in the ag economy.
Recent U.S.–China trade developments provided a small lift for soy markets, though most traders are waiting for concrete purchase data before making major moves.
Wheat futures briefly hit a three-month high before retreating as the markets wait for word on whether the deal will actually happen.
Expect modest relief on several produce lines, mixed protein trends into holiday buying, and softer veg-oil costs — a good week to sharpen forward buys selectively.
According to Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins, the top three soy-crushing companies in Bangladesh agreed to buy $1 billion worth of U.S. soybeans over the next year.
A strong corn export pull is supportive of bids; soybeans need steady vessel programs or fresh sales to firm cash.