Wheat Freight Costs Challenge Stronger Japanese Export Outlook

Higher ocean freight rates continue adding pressure to U.S. wheat exports despite stronger demand projections.

Aerial of cargo ship carrying container for export cargo from cargo yard port to other ocean concept smart freight shipping ship front view_Photo by Yellow Boat via AdobeStock_1601867486.jpg

Aerial of a cargo ship carrying a container of exports.

Photo by Yellow Boat via Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, TN (RFD NEWS) — Transportation costs remain a major hurdle for U.S. wheat moving to Japan, even as USDA projects stronger wheat exports this marketing year.

USDA’s Grain Transportation Report shows freight accounted for 35 to 39 percent of first-quarter landed costs from Kansas and North Dakota.

Converted to bushels, transportation costs ranged from about $2.65 per bushel for Kansas wheat moving through the Pacific Northwest to $3.56 per bushel for North Dakota wheat shipped through the Gulf. Total landed costs ranged from about $7.44 to $9.04 per bushel.

Ocean freight increased from a year earlier, rising 14 percent through Pacific Northwest routes and 19 percent through Gulf routes. Higher bunker fuel costs and strong Asian shipping demand contributed to those increases.

Even with higher freight pressure, lower farm values kept total landed costs below last year across all four routes. North Dakota wheat moving through the Gulf remained the most expensive route.

USDA projects 2025/26 wheat exports near 910 million bushels, up 10 percent from the previous year, making transportation costs and export competitiveness increasingly important.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Stronger wheat exports help demand, but high freight costs continue to limit producer competitiveness in overseas markets.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Soy Transportation Coalition’s Mike Steenhoek discusses how rising diesel costs affect grain delivery decisions and how farmers can use their free calculator to compare transportation costs and protect profitability.
USDA Selects Eight Projects Representing More Than $1.3 Billion in American Fertilizer Manufacturing Investment to Strengthen National Security and Support Farmers
Higher shipping costs could make U.S. grain less competitive overseas.
The planned UAE facility could create a new annual export outlet for American corn growers.
Slower exports and stronger foreign competition are weighing on the U.S. pork sector.
The proposed deal would combine nearly half of U.S. rail traffic under one railroad.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The special provision giving producers the higher of ARC or PLC for 2025 will not continue next year.
Higher heating costs are putting added pressure on household budgets in rural communities.
AFBF Deputy Chief Economist Dr. Faith Parum says Title I commodity payment rates are expected in November. Producers should watch for USDA application details and contact local FSA offices.
More soybeans are being processed domestically as renewable fuels drive demand for soybean oil.
USDA’s new regional cattle report could give producers a clearer view of cash prices as negotiated trade continues to shrink.
Countries that buy American cotton could receive favorable tariff treatment on qualifying apparel.
Wheat remains closest to triggering a PLC payment as producers approach the December election deadline.
New and expanded rail lines could give Brazilian soybean and corn exports a stronger cost advantage.
Barge traffic improved, but grain movement continues to face higher transportation costs during harvest.
Temporary policy changes could help ease fuel costs while refineries get back on track. RFD-TV Markets Specialist Tony St. James dug into U.S. policy and found four wildcard ideas that might work.
Open cotton remains vulnerable to rain and severe weather as High Plains growers weigh harvest costs and abandonment.
Lower tariffs could improve U.S. competitiveness, but the framework does not guarantee Chinese purchases.