Biofuel Rules Tighten Soybean Oil Crush Demand Outlook

Soybean oil is already feeling the pressure.

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Soybean crush demand is getting stronger support from federal biofuel policy, with new Renewable Fuel Standard targets tightening the soybean oil balance sheet. Oklahoma State University’s Dr. Todd Hubbs says EPA’s final rule sets much higher biomass-based diesel obligations for 2026 and 2027.

Hubbs says biomass-based diesel requirements jump to 9.07 billion RIN gallons in 2026 and 9.20 billion in 2027. That creates much stronger demand for D4 credits tied to biodiesel and renewable diesel.

The change matters because the RIN bank is expected to shrink sharply, leaving less cushion if production, imports, or feedstock supplies fall short.

Soybean oil is already feeling the pressure. Prices moved above 75 cents per pound in the first quarter as the market reacted to stronger policy signals.

USDA projects soybean oil use for biodiesel at 17.8 billion pounds in 2026/27, up from 14.2 billion.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong biofuel mandates should support soybean oil demand, crush margins, and soybean market strength.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Huma says growers are placing greater emphasis on intensive management as soybean production continues to evolve
Wyatt Bolding’s perseverance has earned him a spot as one of three finalists for Louisiana Farm Bureau’s 2026 Achievement Award.
Nebraska Soybean Board Vice Chairman Greg Anderson says expanding biodiesel production is creating new opportunities for soybean growers and adding value closer to the farm.
National Farmers Union President Rob Larew and National Potato Council CEO Kam Quarles discuss the Senate Farm Bill, farm safety-net priorities, supplemental aid, year-round E15, support for specialty crops, and federal agricultural policy.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Pasture Stress Spreads While Row Crops Hold Steady
SNAP continued to account for the largest share of food assistance spending as participation and overall program costs increased.
A new report says stronger communication can help farmers navigate a more cautious lending environment.
USDA says states with higher SNAP payment error rates could face new financial responsibility under recently approved reforms.
Heavier cattle and hog weights helped offset lower slaughter, but overall beef and pork production remained below year-ago levels.
Productivity gains helped offset a smaller breeding herd, keeping overall U.S. pork supplies relatively steady
Agriculture Shows
Agriculture is the most important industry in the world, and Ag PhD Daily brings you the information you need to best manage your business only on RFD-TV and RFD+
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.