SNAP Error Rates Could Shift Costs to States

USDA says states with higher SNAP payment error rates could face new financial responsibility under recently approved reforms.

farming taxes accounting money_adobe stock.png

Adobe Stock

Washington, D.C. (RFD News) — States could face new budget pressure after USDA reported a national Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program payment error rate of 10.62 percent for fiscal 2025.

The department says the rate includes both overpayments and underpayments and represents $10.1 billion in improper payments nationwide. SNAP overpayments alone topped $8.5 billion.

New rules in H.R. 1 create financial consequences for states with error rates at or above 6 percent. Depending on the rate, states could be responsible for 5 percent, 10 percent, or 15 percent of benefit costs, generally beginning October 1, 2027.

House Agriculture Committee Chairman Glenn Thompson and Senate Agriculture Committee Chairman John Boozman say the numbers support recent accountability reforms. The 2025 rate is down from the past two years, but it remains far above the 5.84 percent national rate reported in fiscal 2005.

For agriculture, SNAP remains both a USDA budget issue and a channel for food demand.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Producers should track SNAP reform because nutrition spending affects USDA budget debates, food demand, and farm bill negotiations.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The special provision giving producers the higher of ARC or PLC for 2025 will not continue next year.
Higher shipping costs could make U.S. grain less competitive overseas.
Higher heating costs are putting added pressure on household budgets in rural communities.
The planned UAE facility could create a new annual export outlet for American corn growers.
Slower exports and stronger foreign competition are weighing on the U.S. pork sector.
AFBF Deputy Chief Economist Dr. Faith Parum says Title I commodity payment rates are expected in November. Producers should watch for USDA application details and contact local FSA offices.
More soybeans are being processed domestically as renewable fuels drive demand for soybean oil.
USDA’s new regional cattle report could give producers a clearer view of cash prices as negotiated trade continues to shrink.
Countries that buy American cotton could receive favorable tariff treatment on qualifying apparel.
Wheat remains closest to triggering a PLC payment as producers approach the December election deadline.
New and expanded rail lines could give Brazilian soybean and corn exports a stronger cost advantage.
Barge traffic improved, but grain movement continues to face higher transportation costs during harvest.