Corn vs. Soy: Producers Weigh Inputs and Profit Potential for 2026 Crop Budgets

University of Illinois Ag Economist Gary Schnitker says early projections indicate soybeans will be more profitable than corn in 2026.

DEWEY, Ill. (RFD-TV)Harvest is in full swing, and we are looking at what next year holds for crop budgets, including fertilizer. One agricultural economist with the University of Illinois says prices could be coming down, depending on your crop.

“Looking at crop budgets for 2026 is where we’re at; we’re building in higher fertilizer costs for corn, and that’s being led by both anhydrous ammonia or nitrogen and DAP,” said Gary Schnitker. “Currently, prices are higher for those than they were at this time last year, so we built in a higher projection. Soybean costs are a little bit lower, primarily because, surprisingly, potash isn’t higher, and the tariff situation, even though we rely heavily on Canada, we seem to have an exemption now, so that’s going to flow okay, I suppose.”

Schnitker adds that early projections indicate soybeans will be more profitable than corn in 2026.

“Higher cost for corn is going to make corn relatively less profitable, and soybeans are impacting that relationship,” Schnitker continued. “We’ll see where farmers make their decisions as far as profitability, but right now, we’re predicting soybeans to be more profitable than corn. So, again, that’s been the case for a while, and you’re beginning to think, well, we do a lot of 50-50 corn and soybeans in this state. Maybe we’re going to have to shade more to soybeans, but that doesn’t look the best either if we consider that China hasn’t bought any of our soybeans, so we’ll see where all that goes.”

The Trump Administration is speaking out. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says an announcement is slated for Tuesday, promising to assist American soybean growers.

Related Stories
AFBF Economist Samantha Ayoub discusses the latest data on Chapter 12 farm bankruptcy filings and what the troubling trend signals for the farm economy. At the same time, bigger loans and higher rates are squeezing working capital and increasing financial risk.
Corn demand remains supportive, but weaker soybean buying limits overall export momentum.
Farm numbers still favor small operations, but production, resilience, and risk management are increasingly concentrated among fewer, larger farms.
China’s reliance on imported soybeans remains entrenched, shaping global demand and trade leverage.
Cuba remains a steady, nearby buyer of U.S. poultry, pork, dairy, and staples, but legal and compliance risks could still affect shipping and payment channels.
Agriculture remains a key drag on regional growth amid weak prices and policy uncertainty.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

High beef prices are squeezing South Texas restaurants, but Texas Farm Bureau says consumer demand remains strong despite record costs.
According to the Louisiana Department of Agriculture and Forestry, fire crews remain on alert statewide as Red Flag conditions persist. Officials warn that even contained fires can reignite quickly under current weather conditions.
Stephenville FFA students showcase robotics skills at the San Antonio Stock Show, blending teamwork, technology, and competition for the next generation.
It’s National FFA Week, and today we’re celebrating Alumni Day by highlighting some inspiring former FFA members making an impact in agriculture and beyond.
Alan Bjerga of the National Milk Producers Federation discusses the Dairy Margin Coverage program, recent improvements, and what producers need to know ahead of this week’s enrollment deadline.
William Lee Golden joined us to talk about his farming roots, his storied career with the Oak Ridge Boys, and how his new book and music continue to reflect the values that have guided him throughout his life and career.