Credit Conditions Diverge as Crop Margins Tighten and Cattle Strengthens

Crop producers face tightening credit and lower incomes, while strong cattle markets continue to stabilize finances in livestock-heavy regions.

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (RFD-TV) — Agricultural credit conditions across the Tenth District weakened again in the third quarter as crop producers faced another season of tight margins, elevated input costs, and shrinking working capital.

According to the Federal Reserve’s regional survey, lenders in crop-heavy states such as Kansas, Nebraska, and Missouri reported lower farm income and softer repayment rates, with as many as 40% noting declines. Mountain States lenders also reported weaker finances tied to low wheat and dairy prices. By contrast, cattle-dependent regions like Oklahoma saw stronger incomes, improved repayment expectations, and steadier loan quality as record cattle prices continued to bolster revenues.

Despite the financial strain, loan demand climbed, driven by producers seeking operating credit to bridge weak margins. More lenders indicated borrowers plan to sell equipment or other assets to improve liquidity, and problem loan rates nudged higher in crop-focused areas.

Fund availability held mostly stable, while interest rates eased slightly from the previous quarter but remained well above long-term norms. Farmland markets remained surprisingly steady: cropland values held firm, ranchland rose about three percent, and cash rents followed similar patterns.

Looking ahead, lenders expect continued stress for crop operations but relative stability for livestock. Many anticipate lower repayment capacity through winter, stronger non-real-estate loan demand, and a moderate rise in forced asset sales if commodity prices do not improve.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Crop producers face tightening credit and lower incomes, while strong cattle markets continue to stabilize finances in livestock-heavy regions.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
National Farmers Union (NFU) President Rob Larew discusses the urgent need for aid as farm families face mounting input costs and long-term market uncertainty.
The new antitrust agreement between the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) aims to enforce antitrust laws and monitor market activity across the ag sector.
President Donald Trump says a deal is nearly done on lowering beef prices, but he has not released details.
Peel says Mexico has a much greater capability to expand its beef industry than it did 20 or 30 years ago in terms of its feeding and packing infrastructure.
The impacts of the government shutdown have reached commodity growers with crops to move, ag economists monitoring the harvest without key data reporting, and meat producers in need of new export markets.
Industry leaders say $11 billion in new investments could turn the tide as dairy producers face shrinking margins and growing uncertainty.
Export Inspections In Bushels Show Mixed Momentum Patterns
Expect firmer shop prices, leaner inventories, and selective hiring in ag-adjacent businesses — plan parts, service, and financing needs earlier.
Alan Bjerga with the National Milk Producers Federation joins us to discuss the idea behind the campaign and why accurate labeling on plant-based beverages matters to both consumers and dairy producers.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

While agriculture doesn’t predict every recession, the sector’s long history of turning down before the broader economy
The ACRE Act modestly reduces farmland borrowing costs now, with more savings possible once federal guidance clarifies which loans qualify.
ARC-CO delivers the bulk of 2024 support, offering key margin relief as producers manage tight operating conditions.
Higher menu prices and tax-free tips are reshaping restaurant economics, sharply lifting server take-home pay even as diners face higher out-the-door costs.
USDA’s steady yields and heavy global stocks keep grains range-bound unless demand firms or South American weather becomes a real threat.
The Tennessee Department of Agriculture is helping connect veterans with resources to pursue careers in farming and agriculture.