Fertilizer Supply Tightens as Imports Fall and Transportation Slows

Tight supply and logistics issues may raise input costs.

synthetic fertilizers_ag revolution 22148795_G.jpeg

Stockr - stock.adobe.com

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Fertilizer supplies are tightening ahead of spring planting, as lower imports, transportation challenges, and global disruptions are pressuring availability and prices for U.S. producers.

USDA data shows fertilizer imports fell 7 percent below average in the second half of 2025, with phosphate products seeing the sharpest declines. Domestic production remained mostly steady, but not enough to fully offset reduced import volumes — especially for key nutrients like nitrogen and phosphorus.

Transportation trends are also mixed. Rail shipments are running near or slightly above average, but barge movements on the Mississippi River system are below normal due to weaker import flows into New Orleans. That slowdown is limiting how efficiently fertilizer moves inland during a critical pre-plant window.

Global factors are adding pressure. Conflict in the Middle East has disrupted nitrogen fertilizer production and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz — a key supply route. Urea prices have already surged, rising 37% from February to March.

Despite rising costs, USDA expects strong corn acreage this year, which will keep demand for nitrogen fertilizer elevated.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Tight supply and logistics issues may raise input costs.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

National Sorghum Producers CEO Tim Lust said farmers face a challenging year with strong supply, murky trade conditions, and uncertain access to their largest market: China.
RFD-TV Markets Expert Tony St. James breaks down the state of agribusiness and harvest progress across the U.S. for the week of Monday, September 15, 2025.
U.S. trade talks with China resume, but meat industry leaders say dealing with shifting demand and market uncertainty is nothing new in this side of the ag sector.
Tariffs are pushing up input costs, with fertilizer prices rising $100 per ton and machinery costs climbing due to steel and parts duties.
Harvested acres are estimated at 90.0 million, making this year’s corn crop one of the largest since the 1930s.
U.S. producers are holding off on equipment investments amid financial pressure, market uncertainty, a rising demand for diesel, and growing desperation for trade wins.