DES MOINES, IOWA (RFD-TV) — Brazilian farmers are ramping up soybean production, seizing a new opportunity from the U.S.-China trade war. Farmers in São Paulo are planting more crops, as China looks to Brazilian beans for the first half of 2026. Brazil’s government expects the next harvest to rise by nearly four percent. Analysts say the shift is short-term, but for now, Brazil is cashing in on global trade tensions.
Of course, this all hinges on Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s announcement over the weekend that China will buy more soybeans from the U.S. The hope that an agreement is headed our way has sent soybeans higher this week. President Trump and China’s president meet on Thursday in South Korea.
The President’s trip to Asia this week follows a trade mission by the Iowa Soybean Association. Farmers say they were reminded that U.S. soybeans have an international reputation that can be easy to take for granted here at home.
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Lawmakers are pressing for answers on how Washington’s “managed trade” approach — keeping leverage through long-term tariffs — will affect farmers, global markets, and future export opportunities.
In the meantime, Senate Majority Leader John Thune is asking that farmers be allowed to use marketing assistance loans to help stay afloat.
Beef industry groups seem to agree — market-based pricing, not federal intervention, best supports rancher livelihoods and long-term beef supply stability.
Cattle groups say additional imports would offer little relief for consumers but could erode rancher confidence as the industry begins to rebuild herds.
The USDA’s latest Hogs and Pigs Report caught some analysts off guard. Inventories came in lower than expected, signaling tighter supplies ahead, even as producers return to profitability this year.
Lyndsey Smith with Real Ag Radio joined RFD-TV to share a Canadian perspective on the discussions.