Meat Demand Stays Strong As Grilling Season Begins

For producers, demand is strong, but drought, disease, and costs still shape supply.

hawaiian ribeye steaks with grilled pineapple and pepper salad_NCBA.jpg

Hawaiian Ribeye Steaks with Grilled Pineapple & Red Pepper Salad

LUBBOCK, TEXAS (RFD NEWS) — The summer grilling season is underway with U.S. meat demand still strong, even as consumers face record beef prices and tight cattle supplies. American Farm Bureau Federation economist Bernt Nelson says USDA expects U.S. consumption of beef, pork, and chicken to rise in 2026.

Beef remains the highest-priced pressure point. AFBF says all-fresh beef averaged a record $9.64 per pound in April, while uncooked beef steaks averaged $13.02. The smaller U.S. cattle herd, drought, higher costs, and border-related disruptions to cattle supply continue to limit production.

Pork is more balanced. Pork chop prices were up modestly from last year, while the USDA projects 2026 pork production at 27.98 billion pounds. Exports remain important, led by Mexico, Japan, China, and other major buyers.

Chicken remains the most affordable major meat, with prices slightly lower than last year and production still growing despite pressure from avian influenza.

For producers, demand is strong, but drought, disease, and costs still shape supply.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong meat demand supports livestock markets, but tight cattle supplies and production risks keep price pressure in place.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
A stalled World Trade Organization appeals body increases long-term trade policy risk for U.S. agriculture.
Analysts warn the closed U.S.-Mexico border is straining cattle supplies and packing capacity. StoneX and USDA data point to long-term industry shifts.
USDA’s 2026 Food Price Outlook projects food prices rising 3.1%, with higher beef costs and falling egg prices shaping consumer trends.
High beef prices are squeezing South Texas restaurants, but Texas Farm Bureau says consumer demand remains strong despite record costs.
Higher output keeps milk supplies ample, reinforcing expectations for softer dairy prices even as feed costs remain favorable.
Border closures tied to the threat of New World Screwworm continue to stall Mexican fed cattle imports, tightening U.S. feeder cattle supplies over time — triggering feedlot closures that hinder herd rebuilding efforts, threaten the beef supply chain, and shrink production while consumer prices stay elevated.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Strong ethanol output supports corn demand despite export weakness.
Strong crush margins — now at multi-year highs — are encouraging processors to expand production.
Crop insurance remains essential as risks and costs rise.
Rural driving conditions increase the risk of serious collisions with animals.
Weak soybean sales and soft wheat demand contrast with solid corn export strength.
Charly Cummings with Superior Livestock Auction joined us to discuss today’s cattle offering, market demand, and what producers should watch as they plan upcoming sales.