Milk Output Grows While Protein Demand Supports Prices

Butter has softened as milkfat supplies remain ample.

Dairy farmer 1280x720.jpg

Market Day Report

LUBBOCK, TEXAS (RFD NEWS) — Milk production is still growing, but the pace is slowing as dairy markets split between ample milkfat supplies and strong protein demand. March milk production increased 2.3 percent on a liquid basis, marking the fourth straight month of year-over-year growth.

Butter has softened as milkfat supplies remain ample. CME butter prices eased over the past month, even as overall milk production gains decelerated.

Skim solids are telling a different story. Nonfat dry milk prices set records through April and into May as new cheese capacity and strong demand for high-protein dairy products competed with dryers for milk. Use of yogurt, cottage cheese, and whey protein concentrate also continued to grow.

Consumer pressure remains a risk. Inflation accelerated in April, sentiment weakened, and softer foodservice volumes weighed on domestic cheese and butter use.

The Class IV rally helped lift the March Dairy Margin Coverage margin to $9.57 per hundredweight.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong protein demand is supporting milk prices, but consumer pressure and regional margin differences remain important for dairy producers.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Tight cattle supplies should keep beef prices supported, while dairy, pork, and poultry are poised for greater production growth.
Early wheat harvest is moving, but rain, drought stress, and disease pressure will determine yield and quality.
Higher input costs and tighter cash flow are keeping pressure on farm income, credit needs, and capital spending.
Cattle producers met with lawmakers to discuss the issues continuing to impact ranchers across the country.
Founder Jon Mollhagen says automation continues playing a larger role in reducing labor demands and animal stress.
The Meat Institute says meat sales reached a record $112 billion last year as protein demand remained strong nationwide.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

China’s pledge is supportive, but producers need confirmed sales and shipments before counting it as stronger export demand.
Grain movement remains active, but high ocean freight and diesel costs continue to pressure export logistics.
Corn demand received another boost last week as ethanol production climbed to a five-week high.
Chicago Fed lenders report producers are carrying more operating debt as repayment rates continue weakening across the Midwest.
Cattle markets continue supporting rural land values, but lenders say repayment rates and carryover debt are becoming a larger focus.
StoneX analyst Josh Linville says global supply risks and continued dependence on imported urea are keeping fertilizer markets on edge.